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Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China’s stronger-than-expected steel production, combined with an aggressive restocking of inventory levels and the country’s ports had driven iron ore prices well above expectations.
Iron ore stocks have also spiked as analysts upgrade their price forecasts for the commodity on the back of another unexpected recovery. The record prices of last May tumbled unexpectedly fast to under $US100 a tonne, and currently iron ore is taking the pundits again by surprise with a new run that now has it back near $US150/t. The sentiment is apparently still driven by signals about increased infrastructure spending in China and upgraded price forecasts. Nevertheless, and apart from the price of the commodity itself, it is very important that we still see the good fundamentals and dynamics there, which in any case support our overall optimism and hopes that better and more stable freight rates for Capes must be around the corner.
Looking at Australian iron ore exports to China, it is positive to see they remained robust last month despite the backdrop of rising market prices due to multiple factors including weather disruption and labor “shortage” concerns. Industry analysts said the proportion of Australian iron ore in China’s total iron ore imports may be reduced to below 60 percent in 2022 for the first time since 2015, especially as China is still diversifying its sources of supplies and deepening industry upgrading while pursuing low-carbon targets at the same time.
The price of iron ore was also reflected in the rising imports in China in recent weeks, and perhaps it is more important to keep an eye on inventory levels as well. According to data from industry sources, the total inventory of iron ore imported by steel mills across China reached about 117.57 million tons this week, an increase of 470,200 tons from the previous month. Of course it is always possible that the price increase could simply and perhaps only be related to seasonal speculation itself.
Overall since 2015, China’s iron ore imports from Australia and Brazil have accounted for nearly 80 percent of all imports, of which imports from Australia have exceeded 60 percent. Bilateral relations have soured again recently due to Australia’s attitude toward China, which has caused disruption for trade activities. Iron ore exports are still among the few remaining products that are still in high demand in China, partly due to the needs of the domestic construction sector. However, the expectation is that import proportion from Australia in 2022 is likely to drop below 60 percent, having been 61.6 percent in 2021 and 62.5 percent in 2020. We also hear a lot about the change in policy and the potential domestic supply of iron ore in China, not sure however if all this is something that will really re-shape the market dynamics in the future.
By Christopher Whitty,
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 19 July 22
DRY BULK MARKET: CAPESIZE MARKET FIRMS THIS WEEK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Capesize
Firmer sentiment across both basins pushed the Capesize 5TC route average above the $20,000 threshold this week, closing at $24,209. A ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
WHY SHIPPING MIGHT BE ABOUT TO GET A LITTLE BIT SLOWER - WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
If shipping is the beating heart of global trade, its pulse is about to get slower.
Faced with uncertainty about which fuels to use in the long ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
GERMANY'S INCREASED COAL, OIL USE WILL BE TEMPORARY, SCHOLZ SAYS - CNBC
Chancellor Olaf Scholz says Germany’s decision to reactivate coal and oil-fired power plants to relieve energy shortages because of the war i ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
INDONESIA REMOVES PALM OIL EXPORT LEVY UNTIL AUG. 31 - REUTERS
Indonesia has scrapped its export levy for all palm oil products until Aug. 31 in a fresh attempt to boost exports and ease high inventories, finan ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
CHINA'S JUNE DAILY COAL OUTPUT JUMPS ON PEAK SUMMER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output in June rose 6.6 per cent from a month earlier as miners cranked up output ahead of peak summer temperatures, when ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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