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Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China’s stronger-than-expected steel production, combined with an aggressive restocking of inventory levels and the country’s ports had driven iron ore prices well above expectations.
Iron ore stocks have also spiked as analysts upgrade their price forecasts for the commodity on the back of another unexpected recovery. The record prices of last May tumbled unexpectedly fast to under $US100 a tonne, and currently iron ore is taking the pundits again by surprise with a new run that now has it back near $US150/t. The sentiment is apparently still driven by signals about increased infrastructure spending in China and upgraded price forecasts. Nevertheless, and apart from the price of the commodity itself, it is very important that we still see the good fundamentals and dynamics there, which in any case support our overall optimism and hopes that better and more stable freight rates for Capes must be around the corner.
Looking at Australian iron ore exports to China, it is positive to see they remained robust last month despite the backdrop of rising market prices due to multiple factors including weather disruption and labor “shortage” concerns. Industry analysts said the proportion of Australian iron ore in China’s total iron ore imports may be reduced to below 60 percent in 2022 for the first time since 2015, especially as China is still diversifying its sources of supplies and deepening industry upgrading while pursuing low-carbon targets at the same time.
The price of iron ore was also reflected in the rising imports in China in recent weeks, and perhaps it is more important to keep an eye on inventory levels as well. According to data from industry sources, the total inventory of iron ore imported by steel mills across China reached about 117.57 million tons this week, an increase of 470,200 tons from the previous month. Of course it is always possible that the price increase could simply and perhaps only be related to seasonal speculation itself.
Overall since 2015, China’s iron ore imports from Australia and Brazil have accounted for nearly 80 percent of all imports, of which imports from Australia have exceeded 60 percent. Bilateral relations have soured again recently due to Australia’s attitude toward China, which has caused disruption for trade activities. Iron ore exports are still among the few remaining products that are still in high demand in China, partly due to the needs of the domestic construction sector. However, the expectation is that import proportion from Australia in 2022 is likely to drop below 60 percent, having been 61.6 percent in 2021 and 62.5 percent in 2020. We also hear a lot about the change in policy and the potential domestic supply of iron ore in China, not sure however if all this is something that will really re-shape the market dynamics in the future.
By Christopher Whitty,
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 10 August 22
THE FUTURE OF COAL: EIGHT KEY THEMES FROM THE GLOBAL COAL FORUM - WOOD MACKENZIE
Coal investors face a multi-layered and unavoidable challenge: markets distorted by war, trade constraints and the existential threat of the energy ...
Saturday, 06 August 22
SUMITOMO Q1 PROFIT RISES 45% ON STRONGER PRICES OF COAL, NICKEL - REUTERS
Japanese trading house Sumitomo Corp 8053.T said on Wednesday its net profit for the April-June quarter rose 45% to a record thanks to higher price ...
Saturday, 06 August 22
GERMANY'S ENERGY U-TURN: COAL INSTEAD OF GAS - DEUTSCHE WELLE
Berlin has realized it will never again import as much energy from Russia as before the Ukraine war. So the challenge is to wean Germany off its de ...
Saturday, 30 July 22
NUANCES OF FORCE MAJEURE CLAUSE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Knowledge to Elevate
In NKD Maritime Limited v. Bart Maritime (No 2) Inc (Shagang Giant) [2022] EWHC 1615 (Comm), Bart Maritime (No 2) Inc (th ...
Saturday, 30 July 22
AEMO URGES QUICKER SHIFT TO RENEWABLES AMID COAL FAILURES AND SOARING FOSSIL FUEL COSTS
The Australian Energy Market Operator has called for an accelerated shift to wind and solar, backed up by batteries and other storage, as a devasta ...
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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- VISA Power Limited - India
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
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- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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