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Wednesday, 19 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Since the beginning of the year, we have been witnessing the BDI correcting downwards with sizable drops across all segments. Latest similar levels were noticed back in February 2021.
BDI started to deflate after reaching the highest level since 2008 during the first week of October 2021. An uptick in the index was observed during the first week of December, but the downward trend resumed thereafter and was exacerbated after the world’s largest thermal coal exporter, Indonesia imposed a coal export ban on the first day of the new year for the month of January. The index dropped to 1,644 today, representing a -71% decrease to the Q4 peak, dropping below the levels seen during the 2nd half of January 2021, mainly due to underperformance of the Capesize market.
In detail, starting from the Handysize index (BHSI) and comparing January 2022 to January 2021, we stand at higher levels with the index at 1,162 points as of today, +78% y-o-y. The Supramax index also stands +68% above last year’s levels currently at 1,840, while the Panamax index stands +37% above last year at 2,223. Lastly, the BCI is the only index currently performing lower compared to last year, settling today at 1,316 -54% below the same period last year.
This is the seasonally low quarter for the dry bulk market, during which Capesize exhibits the lowest relative performance due to its big dependence on iron ore flows, which are underperform during this time of year. An increase in vessels’ supply in the Pacific due to the Indonesian coal export ban has cannibalized earnings in the basin for all sizes, with the largest hit the most due to underperforming iron ore flows to which it largely depends. However, our lead analyst views current market conditions as a buying opportunity for the sector, which is expected to resume its upward trend during the second quarter of this year, with the geared segment likely to outperform during 1H 2022.
For the time being, with the Chinese New Year in less than two weeks from now and the Winter Olympics following, one could say that shipowners are temporizing their movements until the market shows its real potential, hence the number of deals in the dry SnP side is limited these days. YTD 2022 we have observed approx. 16 deals, and although we are halfway through the month, the trend lags by approx. 4 times the deals observed during full January 2021, when the market had shown signs of a countercyclical freight increase emerging, which finally led to a quarter that had defied seasonality.
By Mohamed Rabie,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 23 December 21
INDONESIA’S 2022 COAL OUTPUT SEEN BETWEEN 637 MLN-664 MLN T- OFFICIAL - REUTERS
Indonesia’s 2022 coal output is estimated at between 637 million to 664 million tonnes based on production plans currently being finalised, s ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
VALE ANNOUNCES THE SALE OF ITS COAL ASSETS
Vale informs that, on this date, it has entered into a binding agreement with Vulcan to sell the Moatize coal mine and the Nacala Logistics Corrido ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
INDIA: CAPTIVE POWER PRODUCERS URGE GOVT TO ENSURE NORMAL COAL SUPPLIES - PTI
A captive power producers’ association has urged the government for 100 per cent normalisation of coal supply to captive power producers whil ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As an outstanding year for the dry bulk freight market comes to a close, so does a thriving year for the SnP market which can only be compared to 2 ...
Tuesday, 14 December 21
COAL LOCK-IN IN SOUTHEAST ASIA PRESENTS A CHALLENGE FOR THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK'S COAL RETIREMENT PLAN - IEEFA
In August, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) announced an ambitious plan to buy high emissions coal-fired power plants in Southeast Asia and retire ...
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
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