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Friday, 12 November 21
RUSSIA-INDIA COKING COAL DEAL UNLIKELY TO IMPACT PANAMAX SHIPPING - DREWRY
Russia and India have recently entered into an agreement whereby Russia will supply up to 40 million tonnes of coking coal to India every year. Drewry believes this trade will have little or no impact on the demand for dry bulk shipping.
The Indian government plans to sharply lift the domestic production capacity of crude steel which could lead to even higher coking coal imports as it is a key raw material for steel production. The imports of coking coal have been rising over the past few years. While Australia is the predominant supplier of coking coal to India, accounting for around 80% of country’s imports of the commodity, the US and Canada supply the balance with Russia’s share at a negligible 1-2% annually. In 2020, the latter exported 1.2 million tonnes of coking coal to India.
As Indian steel mills are highly reliant on Australian coking coal, any disruption in the supply of the commodity in Australia could affect India’s steel production. The recent deal with Russia could be seen as an attempt by Indian coking coal traders to diversify their import portfolio and could eat into the share of Australian coal, leaving the shares of the US and Canada untouched.
Meanwhile, the Russian government plans to lift the country’s coal production to 668 million tonnes by 2035 from around 400 million tonnes in 2020 and thereby increase its presence in the Asian market. The country targets to lift its coal exports to 390 million tonnes from around 211 million tonnes in 2020, indicating that exports will rise by around 12 million tonnes per annum. In line with the country’s vison, some Russian companies such as Kolmar and Elga intend to ramp up their coal production volumes and port capacities.
Since Russia-India and Australia-India are predominantly Panamax routes, the impact of the recent deal on the demand for Panamax vessels will depend on the port that will supply coking coal to India. Russia has been exporting coal through Murmansk, Vanino, Vostochny and Ust-Luga, of which Vanino and Vostochny are almost equidistant from India, as is Australia, but Murmansk-India (and also Ust-Luga-India) is almost double the distance between India and Australia. As a result, for a given cargo volume, Murmansk-India and Ust-Luga-India should deploy twice the number of vessels than Australia-India, but for Vanino-India or Vostochny-India there will hardly be any addition in the overall vessel demand.
To estimate the influence of the Russia-India deal on vessel demand we assume that all four Russian ports will supply coal to India in equal quantities. At the speed of 11 knots, 40 million tonnes of coking coal trade on Russia-India would employ 94 odd Panamax vessels whereas the same cargo volume on Australia-India would need 66 Panamaxes, implying an increase of 28 Panamax vessels annually.
However, we believe the entire agreement between Russia and India for 40 million tonnes of annual coking coal trade will be difficult to materialise. The share of coking coal in Russia’s overall coal exports has been limited to 12-14% over the past five years. This means that even if the country’s coal exports will rise by 12 million tonnes per annum, coking coal exports could rise by just 1-2 million tonnes annually.
Moreover, even if the country is able to meet the agreed quantity, it seems that Russia would supply a major proportion of the coking coal through port Vanino as the country’s major coal companies are increasing their coal handling capacity at this port. While Kolmar group plans to lift the annual coal handling capacity of the VaninoTransUgol terminal by 12 million tonnes by 2023, Albert Avdolyan plans to construct a coal terminal at Vanino with annual handling capacity of 30 million tonnes. As mentioned above vessel demand on Vanino-India will be no different from that on Australia-India and any shift of cargo away from Australia-India and towards Vanino-India will have little impact on dry bulk shipping demand.
Source: Drewry
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Sunday, 21 August 22
COAL-RICH POLAND FACES WINTER OF ENERGY DISCONTENT - DW
Poland uses 10 million tons of coal a year to heat households — a whopping 87% of all coal consumed in EU homes in 2019, according to the War ...
Saturday, 20 August 22
KOSPO TO IMPORT 240000 MT OF MIN 4400 KCAL/KG NCV STEAM COAL FOR OCTOBER;LOADING FROM RUSSIAN PORTS NOT ALLOWED
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for 240,000 MT of min 4,400kcal/kg to max. 4,999 kcal/kg NC ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
INDIAN COMPANIES SWAPPING DOLLAR FOR ASIAN CURRENCIES TO BUY RUSSIAN COAL - REUTERS
Indian companies are using Asian currencies more often to pay for Russian coal imports, according to customs documents and industry sources, avoidi ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
LNG: MAJOR INVESTMENT AND EXPANSION PHASE, DOUBLING OF LIQUEFACTION CAPACITY BY 2028 PROJECTED - CLARKSONS
Clarksons Research have released the latest version of their long standing annual review, LNG Trade & Transport, on to Shipping Intelligence Ne ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
UNAFFORDABLE LNG PRICES UNDERMINE RAPID DEMAND GROWTH FORECASTS IN KEY ASIAN MARKETS - IEEFA
Sustained high prices may accelerate downward pressures on Asian LNG demand, clouding long-term industry outlooks
The global liquefi ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Planning Commission, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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