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Friday, 20 August 21
CHINA’S IRON ORE IMPORTS CONTRACTED YEAR-ON-YEAR BY 2% IN 2018 AND GREW YEAR-ON-YEAR BY ONLY 1% IN 2019 - COMMODORE RESEARCH
 Examining the last ten years of China’s crude steel output and iron ore imports shows that China’s iron ore imports have stayed resilient during each year where China’s crude steel output growth came under notable pressure, Commodore Research reported in its August report.
Commodore Research further noted, last decade began with China’s crude steel output growing year-on-year by 9% in 2011, and iron ore imports that year grew year-on-year by a robust 11%. However, 2012 then saw crude steel output grow year-on-year by only 3%, but iron ore imports that year still grew year-on-year by 9%. 2013 saw strong growth in both crude steel output and iron ore imports (each grew by 10%), but then 2014 saw crude steel production grow year-on-year by 5%. However, iron ore imports in 2014 still grew year-on-year by 13%. 2015 then saw China’s crude steel output contract year-on-year by 2%, but iron ore imports that year still grew year-on-year by 2%.
2016 then saw crude steel output grow year-on-year by only 1%, but iron ore imports that year grew year-on-year by 8%. 2017 saw the same growth in both crude steel output and iron ore imports (each grew year-on-year by 5%).
As we have been stressing in our work since we started our consultancy in 2010, Commodore Research said, it is global iron ore production that dictates China’s iron ore import volume. China has long remained content to purchase as much iron ore that exporters want to sell China (as imports are much higher quality than iron ore mined in China). Year after year has continued to show that China’s actual iron ore import demand remains resilient even when crude steel output growth comes under pressure. 2018 and 2019 would then go on to see weakness in iron ore imports, but this was not due to weakness in crude steel output. China’s iron ore imports contracted year-on-year by 2% in 2018 and grew year-on-year by only 1% in 2019, but crude steel output grew year-on-year by 10% in 2018 and by 7% in 2019. It was not weakness in steel output that led to two years of iron ore import weakness.
Global iron ore production was not finding significant growth at this time following years of weakness in iron ore prices, and overall global iron ore production was also hit further in 2019 after Vale’s dam collapse in January 2019 (which ended up curtailing Vale’s production). 2020 then ended up seeing China’s crude steel output grow year-on-year by 6% and iron ore imports grow year-on-year by 9%.
Overall, year after year has continued to show that China’s actual iron ore import demand remains resilient even if steel output experiences low growth or even contracts.
During the last ten years, Commodore Research said, there have been three years where China’s crude steel output grew by less than 5% (2012, 2015, and 2016) — and during all of these years China’s annual iron ore imports set new records. This historical fact is not making its way into market consensus. The Chinese government never comes out and states that iron ore imports can find strength even during years where steel output comes under pressure, but this is exactly what history has continued to show. Consuming as much imported iron ore as possible (at the expense of domestically mined iron ore) remains in the very best interest of China’s environment — and fortunately for the Chinese steel sector, the price of iron ore cargoes are now much more attractive.
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Saturday, 11 September 21
CIL STEPS UP SUPPLY COAL TO POWER SECTOR; PER-DAY AVERAGE 20 PC HIGHER THAN LAST YEAR - PTI
State-owned CIL on Friday said it has stepped up the supply of coal to the power sector in the first eight days of the current month, with an avera ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
RECORD CHINESE COAL FUTURES SIGNAL NEED TO BOOST OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s coal prices have climbed to a record high, signaling the need for more production in the short term, even as the government tries to ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
IN 2022, EIA EXPECTS U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO INCREASE BY 47 MMST TO 648 MMST
U.S. Coal production accordng to EIA's forecast, totals 601 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, 66 MMst more than in 2020, EIA's Short-Term ...
Wednesday, 08 September 21
FITCH RATINGS RAISES THERMAL COAL PRICE ASSUMPTIONS ON TIGHT SUPPLY
Fitch Ratings has increased all its Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg price assumptions and short- and medium-term Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg price assumptions ...
Wednesday, 08 September 21
COAL IS STILL KING; INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE ABOVE $150 FOR FIRST TIME IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: The Indonesian Coal Price Reference rose dramatically from US$ 127.05 in February 2011, to a peak of US$ 150.03 in September 2021, be ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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