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Friday, 20 August 21
CHINA’S IRON ORE IMPORTS CONTRACTED YEAR-ON-YEAR BY 2% IN 2018 AND GREW YEAR-ON-YEAR BY ONLY 1% IN 2019 - COMMODORE RESEARCH
 Examining the last ten years of China’s crude steel output and iron ore imports shows that China’s iron ore imports have stayed resilient during each year where China’s crude steel output growth came under notable pressure, Commodore Research reported in its August report.
Commodore Research further noted, last decade began with China’s crude steel output growing year-on-year by 9% in 2011, and iron ore imports that year grew year-on-year by a robust 11%. However, 2012 then saw crude steel output grow year-on-year by only 3%, but iron ore imports that year still grew year-on-year by 9%. 2013 saw strong growth in both crude steel output and iron ore imports (each grew by 10%), but then 2014 saw crude steel production grow year-on-year by 5%. However, iron ore imports in 2014 still grew year-on-year by 13%. 2015 then saw China’s crude steel output contract year-on-year by 2%, but iron ore imports that year still grew year-on-year by 2%.
2016 then saw crude steel output grow year-on-year by only 1%, but iron ore imports that year grew year-on-year by 8%. 2017 saw the same growth in both crude steel output and iron ore imports (each grew year-on-year by 5%).
As we have been stressing in our work since we started our consultancy in 2010, Commodore Research said, it is global iron ore production that dictates China’s iron ore import volume. China has long remained content to purchase as much iron ore that exporters want to sell China (as imports are much higher quality than iron ore mined in China). Year after year has continued to show that China’s actual iron ore import demand remains resilient even when crude steel output growth comes under pressure. 2018 and 2019 would then go on to see weakness in iron ore imports, but this was not due to weakness in crude steel output. China’s iron ore imports contracted year-on-year by 2% in 2018 and grew year-on-year by only 1% in 2019, but crude steel output grew year-on-year by 10% in 2018 and by 7% in 2019. It was not weakness in steel output that led to two years of iron ore import weakness.
Global iron ore production was not finding significant growth at this time following years of weakness in iron ore prices, and overall global iron ore production was also hit further in 2019 after Vale’s dam collapse in January 2019 (which ended up curtailing Vale’s production). 2020 then ended up seeing China’s crude steel output grow year-on-year by 6% and iron ore imports grow year-on-year by 9%.
Overall, year after year has continued to show that China’s actual iron ore import demand remains resilient even if steel output experiences low growth or even contracts.
During the last ten years, Commodore Research said, there have been three years where China’s crude steel output grew by less than 5% (2012, 2015, and 2016) — and during all of these years China’s annual iron ore imports set new records. This historical fact is not making its way into market consensus. The Chinese government never comes out and states that iron ore imports can find strength even during years where steel output comes under pressure, but this is exactly what history has continued to show. Consuming as much imported iron ore as possible (at the expense of domestically mined iron ore) remains in the very best interest of China’s environment — and fortunately for the Chinese steel sector, the price of iron ore cargoes are now much more attractive.
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Friday, 27 August 21
THE ECONOMICS OF INDONESIA’S DIESEL POWER PLANT TO GAS CONVERSION PLAN ARE PROBLEMATIC - IEEFA
Deploying new small-scale LNG is an uphill battle for PGN
Indonesian gas is currently in a precarious position, where the government needs to ...
Thursday, 26 August 21
INDIA IMPORTED 17.06 MLN TONNES OF LPG IN 2020; UP 11.5% Y-O-Y
Global LPG trade remained fairly positive in 2020, despite the global economic impact from COVID-19, and surged strongly in the first half of 2021. ...
Thursday, 26 August 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
24th of August 2021, the Baltic Dry Index reached 4,201, a YTD high and the highest since May 2010.
Cape 5TC daily average @ 51,472
...
Tuesday, 24 August 21
COAL PRICE RALLY TO PRESSURE CHINESE POWER GENCOS’ MARGINS FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects the pressure on Chinese power generation companies’ (gencos) profit from the recent coal price surge to weaken their cr ...
Tuesday, 24 August 21
TIGHT POWER SUPPLY IN CHINA AMID STRONG DEMAND, HIGH COAL PRICES - FITCH RATINGS
China experienced tight power supply in 1H21 on stronger than expected power demand as economic activity continued to recover, Fitch Ratings says i ...
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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