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Wednesday, 14 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 In its latest Global Economic Prospects report, the world bank recorded the strongest post-recession global growth in 80 years, but emerging and developing countries continue to fall behind due to shortages of anti-crown vaccines. The bank raised its forecast by 1.5 points to 5.6% for global growth in 2021 with China touching 8.5% and the US at 6.8%.
Europe has been lagging the stimulus momentum of the US, but recently they made a decisive step with the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde advising investors to prepare for a new guidance on monetary support in 10 days and heralded the possibility of new measures for next year to support the eurozone economy after the current bond emergency program expires. Speaking on Bloomberg TV, just days after the ECB raised its inflation target to 2%, Lagarde said there would be some interesting changes.
The West has been a major driver of demand for containers trade so far in 2021. Supply chain bottlenecks have sent shipping costs at record high levels on containers with bulkers following with freight rates reaching more than decade highs. The shortage of raw materials has pushed up prices and importers are raising the cost of goods, fueling fears of an inflationary spiral.
As freight rates have skyrocketed, containers orderbook has increased sharply at approx. 21% of the fleet, the highest level since Q4 2015, while the SnP activity on the sector has increased to the highest level ever recorded for 1H – with more than 300 transactions recorded. Despite the increase in transactions and the 100% to 200% spike in asset values particularly for intermediate TEU units since the beginning of the year, the market consensus is that there is more room to go. Until more vessels’ supply hits the market from 2023 onwards and/ or when current shortages rebalance with demand normalizing, it looks like container owners have an extended runway to take advantage of the upside.
Depending on the trade growth scenario over the next years, fleet additions across shipping sectors are expected to rise accordingly and dictate the pace of asset values evolution amongst other factors.
The BIMCO ICS Seafarer Workforce 2021 report has elaborated on 3 commercial fleet development scenarios, with low, stable and higher growth. In the low growth scenario, there will be an average of 567 ships entering the fleet each year, a significant decrease from the average of 955 ships in the baseline scenario. In a scenario of stable growth, the fleet will grow at a slower pace and is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75%. If world trade is better, the global fleet is expected to exceed 80,000 ships in 2025, with an annual growth rate of 1.75%. BIMCO says the course of the fleet also depends on the course of world trade.
By Zisis Stylianos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL FIRMS SEE SHARE PRICES SURGE MONDAY, AFTER GOVERNMENT READJUSTS CONTRACT PRICES - GLOBAL TIMES
Share prices of China’s coal enterprises jumped on Monday on the A-share market following a nationwide adjustment to annual thermal coal pric ...
Monday, 06 December 21
CHINA SETS 2022 ANNUAL THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 700 YUAN/T - MEDIA: REUTERS
China’s top economic planner has proposed to set annual thermal coal prices for 2022 at between 550 yuan and 850 yuan ($86-$133) per tonne, a ...
Thursday, 02 December 21
BUMI RECORDED US$ 666.18 MILLION AS REVENUE IN THE 3RD QUARTER, UP 13.31% YOY
PT Bumi Resources Tbk and its subsidiaries have recorded a surge in revenue in the third quarter of 2021. BUMI has recorded US$ 666.18 million as r ...
Thursday, 02 December 21
CHINA'S COAL CRUNCH IS OVER, BUT PRICES ARE STILL TOO HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal crisis has largely been resolved with gains in both production and stockpiles sufficient to ensure power supplies over winter.
...
Wednesday, 01 December 21
2022 OUTLOOK: INDONESIAN COAL MINING - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has a neutral outlook on the Indonesian coal sector for 2022.
Earnings generation should slow down as selling pr ...
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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