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Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong market, very few anticipated the levels we have seen to date. While both supply and demand forces have acted favorably, the rebound of dry bulk freight rates to multi year highs was primarily demand led. A synchronized record high economic stimulus across the globe, led by China, in order to prop up the economies from the COVID-19 shock was the major catalyst.
The multiplier effect in dry bulk commodities demand came in V shape and materialized into a counter seasonal freight surge to multiyear highs throughout the 1H2021. Furthermore, quarantines related to COVID-19 and elevated congestion have led to fleet inefficiencies across basins, which along with a decelerating dry bulk fleet growth have helped to further tighten the demand supply balance. On the new building front, ordering has been moderate – similar levels with 2020 – steel price surging and solid demand has led Builders to increase their prices, which refrained owners from turning to new buildings.
The global container shipping industry has also recorded a long-awaited increase in demand. An unprecedented shortage in containers amid surging demand for consumer goods since the pandemic started has sent container freight rates to record high levels. Also, port congestion and logistical disruptions exacerbated by the Suez Canal incident have contributed to the surge. With global GDP growth projections revised to 6.0% and savings rates still high, the multiplier effect on container rates should continue in the medium term. Demand will eventually normalize as consumers’ preferences shift back to services with the economies reopening, but freight rates are expected to remain elevated despite a potential gradual softening from record highs.
The turning point will be when high trade costs spill over to prices of final goods and inflation starts hitting consumers’ income. For the time being, global manufacturing PMIs stand at multi-year highs and assuming that we have reached the mid-cycle in PMIs as many analysts have signaled, there will be a lag factor in demand reaction from surging trade costs. We do observe an increase in NB activity (see graph) with orderbook now close to 17% of the fleet, which is not expected to impact the market with accelerating fleet supply growth until later in 2023.
By Theodore Ntalakos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 28 September 21
THE MAIDEN EDITION OF DIVE TECHNOLOGY SUMMIT 2021 CONCLUDES SUCCESSFULLY
Press Release: DIVE TECHNOLOGY SUMMIT 2021, a one-day conference on the recent technological advancements in the Industrial Diving industry conclud ...
Monday, 27 September 21
CHINESE COAL FIRMS MEET TO ADDRESS WINTER SUPPLY CHALLENGES - CNBC
Major Chinese coal producers are trying to resolve supply shortages and curb price rises as the country’s winter consumption peak approaches, ...
Saturday, 25 September 21
HIGH STAKES FOR ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK’S AMBITIOUS COAL POWER RETIREMENT PLAN - IEEFA
Implementation challenges could block funding for other equally important high impact clean energy funding strategies
In the lead up ...
Thursday, 23 September 21
LONGER COAL CONTRACTS MAY REIN IN PRICES - ECNS
In China’s coal sector that has been marred recently by price surges, regional authorities and related enterprises should ensure the fuel con ...
Thursday, 23 September 21
BALTIC INDEX HITS 12-YEAR PEAK ON FIRMER VESSELS RATES - REUTERS
The Baltic Exchange’s main dry bulk sea freight index rose for a fourth straight session on Wednesday to a 12-year high, buoyed by higher rat ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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