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Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong market, very few anticipated the levels we have seen to date. While both supply and demand forces have acted favorably, the rebound of dry bulk freight rates to multi year highs was primarily demand led. A synchronized record high economic stimulus across the globe, led by China, in order to prop up the economies from the COVID-19 shock was the major catalyst.
The multiplier effect in dry bulk commodities demand came in V shape and materialized into a counter seasonal freight surge to multiyear highs throughout the 1H2021. Furthermore, quarantines related to COVID-19 and elevated congestion have led to fleet inefficiencies across basins, which along with a decelerating dry bulk fleet growth have helped to further tighten the demand supply balance. On the new building front, ordering has been moderate – similar levels with 2020 – steel price surging and solid demand has led Builders to increase their prices, which refrained owners from turning to new buildings.
The global container shipping industry has also recorded a long-awaited increase in demand. An unprecedented shortage in containers amid surging demand for consumer goods since the pandemic started has sent container freight rates to record high levels. Also, port congestion and logistical disruptions exacerbated by the Suez Canal incident have contributed to the surge. With global GDP growth projections revised to 6.0% and savings rates still high, the multiplier effect on container rates should continue in the medium term. Demand will eventually normalize as consumers’ preferences shift back to services with the economies reopening, but freight rates are expected to remain elevated despite a potential gradual softening from record highs.
The turning point will be when high trade costs spill over to prices of final goods and inflation starts hitting consumers’ income. For the time being, global manufacturing PMIs stand at multi-year highs and assuming that we have reached the mid-cycle in PMIs as many analysts have signaled, there will be a lag factor in demand reaction from surging trade costs. We do observe an increase in NB activity (see graph) with orderbook now close to 17% of the fleet, which is not expected to impact the market with accelerating fleet supply growth until later in 2023.
By Theodore Ntalakos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Friday, 04 June 21
NEW COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS IN INDIA WILL BE ECONOMICALLY UNVIABLE - IEEFA
Coal capacity additions face major stranded asset risk
Much of India’s 33 gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired power capacity currently under co ...
Thursday, 03 June 21
JUNE HBA IS HITTING ABOVE $100 AND SETTLED AT ITS HIGHEST SINCE OCTOBER 2020
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for June 2021 settles at US$ 100.33 per ton FOB vessel.
The Indonesia coal pr ...
Wednesday, 02 June 21
INDONESIA RV WAS DOWN TO LOW/MID $20,000S DAY FOR PANAMAX/KAMSARMAX WITH DELIVERY S CHINA - BANCHERO COSTA
Panamax
A softening week in the Pacific basin with rates under a downward pressure mainly caused by the oversupply of tonnage in the area, said ...
Wednesday, 02 June 21
EUROPEAN UNION'S IRON ORE IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
The European Union (27) is currently the fourth largest importer of iron ore in the world, after China, Japan, and South Korea.
Euro ...
Tuesday, 01 June 21
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.02 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 160.06 points Monday, down 0.02 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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