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Wednesday, 26 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Last year crude tankers’ newbuilding contracting activity was devastated by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the cloud of uncertainty regarding eco-friendly technology adoption which amplified concerns over the technology and fuelling choices on the newbuilding units. Covid-19 restrictions significantly impacted owners’ appetite for new orders, which coupled with the divided view on the long-term technology implementation caused a severe blow on the shipbuilding industry. At the time of writing, both concerns are still present.
Despite worldwide vaccination, the pandemic remains with lockdown restrictions being imposed around the world. In addition, there is no clear view on which type of fuel will be the next generation one, yet with LNG retrofits gaining a bigger market share week by week. However, today the shipbuilding tanker market activity witness a completely different outlook, with the volume of newbuilding contracts emerging w-o-w being significantly strong and the NB values at levels that we last observed back in 2015. With respect to the latter fact, we could agree that the recent spike in steel prices has supported a large part of newbuilding value increases; nevertheless, with the cost for new investments burdening the owner’s capital, it is evident that the appetite for new vessels is strong.
According to our preliminary data, YTD crude carriers contracting activity in dwt terms is estimated at around 9.6 million which is about +47.7% when compared to the same period last year (6.5 million dwt). The majority of orders that have materialized so far this year referred to VLCC units which account for 71% of the total orders (27 of the total tanker contracting activity of 38 units). If buying interest for crude carrier tonnage continues at the same pace it would not be a surprise to see 2021 contracting activity doubling the previous year volumes (around 15.4 million in dwt terms during 2020). Solely for the purpose of comparison, 2019 total contracting activity is estimated at around 19.6 million dwt with January-May 2019 newbuilding volume at 7.45 million dwt, a time period where the Coronavirus pandemic would stand as a science fiction theory.
As far as the asset values are concerned, average prices for VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax units to be constructed at top tier yards are estimated at $95.0M, $63.M, and $50.5 million respectively. A picture is worth a thousand words and that can be evident if we take a closer look at page 6 Indicative Newbuilding Prices table where a comparison with average values of the past 3 years can easily be made. Average prices of all sectors are hovering well below today’s values. Again, for the sake of clarity, 2021 average VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax newbuilding prices stand at $90.0M, $59.5M, and $49.0 million. It remains to be seen, whether Chinese authorities will manage to curb iron ore prices and subsequently steel values. Such a depreciation on the respective commodities will be reflected on newbuilding values as well; however, if China’s exertion in containing steel prices remains unsuccessful newbuilding prices will appreciate further according to the underlying steel inflationary trend.
By Yiannis Parganas,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 26 June 21
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 480,000 MT OF COAL PER ANNUM
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for total 480,000 MT of NCV 1 Min. 5,600 (Spec 1) /Min. 5,0 ...
Thursday, 24 June 21
FEBRUARY'S INCREASE IN COAL-FIRED ELECTRIC GENERATION REDUCED U.S. COAL STOCKPILES - EIA
Coal stockpiles at U.S. power plants decreased significantly from December 2020 to February 2021, including a draw of nearly 16 million tons in Feb ...
Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong ma ...
Thursday, 17 June 21
2020 PROVED TO BE A TRULY TERRIBLE YEAR FOR GLOBAL SEABORNE COAL TRADE; CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
2020 proved to be a truly terrible year for global seaborne coal trade.
Total global loadings in the 12 months of 2020 were down -12 ...
Thursday, 17 June 21
FITCH RATINGS RAISES SHORT-TERM OIL AND GAS PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
Fitch Ratings has increased its 2021 and 2022 oil price assumptions for the Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmarks due to stronger year ...
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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