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Wednesday, 26 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Last year crude tankers’ newbuilding contracting activity was devastated by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the cloud of uncertainty regarding eco-friendly technology adoption which amplified concerns over the technology and fuelling choices on the newbuilding units. Covid-19 restrictions significantly impacted owners’ appetite for new orders, which coupled with the divided view on the long-term technology implementation caused a severe blow on the shipbuilding industry. At the time of writing, both concerns are still present.
Despite worldwide vaccination, the pandemic remains with lockdown restrictions being imposed around the world. In addition, there is no clear view on which type of fuel will be the next generation one, yet with LNG retrofits gaining a bigger market share week by week. However, today the shipbuilding tanker market activity witness a completely different outlook, with the volume of newbuilding contracts emerging w-o-w being significantly strong and the NB values at levels that we last observed back in 2015. With respect to the latter fact, we could agree that the recent spike in steel prices has supported a large part of newbuilding value increases; nevertheless, with the cost for new investments burdening the owner’s capital, it is evident that the appetite for new vessels is strong.
According to our preliminary data, YTD crude carriers contracting activity in dwt terms is estimated at around 9.6 million which is about +47.7% when compared to the same period last year (6.5 million dwt). The majority of orders that have materialized so far this year referred to VLCC units which account for 71% of the total orders (27 of the total tanker contracting activity of 38 units). If buying interest for crude carrier tonnage continues at the same pace it would not be a surprise to see 2021 contracting activity doubling the previous year volumes (around 15.4 million in dwt terms during 2020). Solely for the purpose of comparison, 2019 total contracting activity is estimated at around 19.6 million dwt with January-May 2019 newbuilding volume at 7.45 million dwt, a time period where the Coronavirus pandemic would stand as a science fiction theory.
As far as the asset values are concerned, average prices for VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax units to be constructed at top tier yards are estimated at $95.0M, $63.M, and $50.5 million respectively. A picture is worth a thousand words and that can be evident if we take a closer look at page 6 Indicative Newbuilding Prices table where a comparison with average values of the past 3 years can easily be made. Average prices of all sectors are hovering well below today’s values. Again, for the sake of clarity, 2021 average VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax newbuilding prices stand at $90.0M, $59.5M, and $49.0 million. It remains to be seen, whether Chinese authorities will manage to curb iron ore prices and subsequently steel values. Such a depreciation on the respective commodities will be reflected on newbuilding values as well; however, if China’s exertion in containing steel prices remains unsuccessful newbuilding prices will appreciate further according to the underlying steel inflationary trend.
By Yiannis Parganas,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 01 July 21
WHY INDIA’S SOLAR POWER TARIFFS ARE CLIMBING AFTER HITTING RECORD LOWS LAST YEAR - IEEFA
What’s behind the recent increase?
Solar tariffs are deflationary. Prices have fallen by 75% in seven years in India, and in 2 ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
END TO COAL POWER BROUGHT FORWARD TO OCTOBER 2024
Press Release: The deadline to phase out coal from Great Britain's energy system has been brought forward by a whole year, highlighting the UK& ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
WHY BUILD 600 NEW UNPROFITABLE COAL PLANTS? - DEUTSCHE WELLE
Governments in Asia are planning 600 new coal plants that could lose investors $150 billion and derail efforts to limit temperature rise in line wi ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
FIVE ASIAN COUNTRIES ACCOUNT FOR 80% OF NEW COAL POWER INVESTMENT - THE GUARDIAN
Five Asian countries are jeopardising global climate ambitions by investing in 80% of the world’s planned new coal plants, according to a rep ...
Wednesday, 30 June 21
DELTA DUNIA MAKMUR RECORDED AN IMPROVED REVENUE IN Q1 2021; REVENUE INCREASED BY 49% QOQ TO US$160 MILLION ON THE BACK OF COAL PRICE RECOVERY
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. (“DOID”) released its consolidated financial and operating results that include its primary and wholly-owned ...
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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