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Tuesday, 23 March 21
LOWER WHOLESALE PRICES PUT PRESSURE ON AUSTRALIAN ENERGY RETAILERS - FITCH RATINGS
 Fitch Ratings expects the low wholesale energy prices in the Australian National Energy Market to persist through to 2022, which will affect electricity generators and retailers. This is despite recent agreements to continue operating an aluminium smelter that accounts for around 10% of the State of Victoria's energy demand.
Lower demand due to mild weather and 3,700MW of new renewable generation capacity starting up resulted in average wholesale spot electricity prices falling by 23%-58% in 2020. Fitch expects pricing pressure to persist through to 2022, as more renewable generation comes online, and demand remains subdued. Prices may partially recover in 2023 as the planned closure of AGL's 2,000MW Liddell Coal power plant will remove some generation capacity from the market and as weather conditions normalise.
The lower prices are likely to reduce the earnings of power producers and retailers. Origin Energy Ltd (BBB/Stable) cut its guidance for Energy Markets division EBITDA for the financial year ended 30 June 2021 (FY21) to AUD1.00 billion-1.14 billion (FY20: AUD1.46 billion. AGL Energy Ltd also announced AUD2.7 billion of charges, reflecting onerous contracts primarily related to high-cost wind farm offtake agreements, as well as AUD532 million of impairments to the value of its generation fleet and natural gas assets.
Fitch expects Origin's Energy Markets earnings to fall further in FY22 as the decline in wholesale prices leads to lower retail prices. The Australian Energy Regulator's (AER) draft Default Market Offer (DMO) for the year to 1 July 2021 included price reductions of between 4.6% and 7.9% for residential customers, and 4.1% and 8.5% for small business customers. The regulated DMO acts as a maximum cap that electricity retailers can charge customers, and Fitch expects further reductions in non-regulated market offers, as retailers pass on lower wholesale prices to customers to win or maintain market share.
Fitch expects lower earnings from Origin's Energy Markets division to reduce the headroom available in its rating. Origin typically generates around 16TWh of energy annually from its Eraring coal-fired plant, but the recent price decreases have seen Origin reduce Earring's output due to its relatively high cost compared to market prices. The completion of the 530MW Stockyard Hill wind farm by the end of 2021 should increase Origin's access to lower-cost generation, although this is unlikely to be sufficient to fully offset the fall in retail prices.
Origin's rating incorporates the benefits of cash distributions from its investment in APLNG, which operates a gas liquefaction project. Origin has guided cash receipts of between AUD575 million and AUD675 million in FY21, and Fitch expects receipts to rise in FY22 as oil prices recover. These increased receipts will help partially offset lower energy markets earnings, but larger-than-expected declines in earnings from this segment or lower-than-forecast receipts from APLNG could place pressure on Origin's rating.
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Saturday, 05 June 21
IT'S TIME FOR THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION TO CHAMPION RENEWABLE ENERGY IN THE PHILIPPINES, NOT NUCLEAR OR FOSSIL GAS - IEEFA
Fossil gas and nuclear investments risk locking in costly, outdated infrastructure for the long-term
The United States has spent the ...
Friday, 04 June 21
NEW COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS IN INDIA WILL BE ECONOMICALLY UNVIABLE - IEEFA
Coal capacity additions face major stranded asset risk
Much of India’s 33 gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired power capacity currently under co ...
Thursday, 03 June 21
JUNE HBA IS HITTING ABOVE $100 AND SETTLED AT ITS HIGHEST SINCE OCTOBER 2020
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for June 2021 settles at US$ 100.33 per ton FOB vessel.
The Indonesia coal pr ...
Wednesday, 02 June 21
INDONESIA RV WAS DOWN TO LOW/MID $20,000S DAY FOR PANAMAX/KAMSARMAX WITH DELIVERY S CHINA - BANCHERO COSTA
Panamax
A softening week in the Pacific basin with rates under a downward pressure mainly caused by the oversupply of tonnage in the area, said ...
Wednesday, 02 June 21
EUROPEAN UNION'S IRON ORE IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
The European Union (27) is currently the fourth largest importer of iron ore in the world, after China, Japan, and South Korea.
Euro ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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