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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
 High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power shortfalls seen recently in parts of the country are unlikely to drive large-scale shifts in investment plans, as the problems reflect weak peak-load flexibility rather than structural power shortages.
Total power consumption rose 9.4% yoy in November 2020, according to the China Electricity Council, and peak loads have reached record levels for many regional grids. Demand for power has been supported by robust economic growth, but also by unusually cold conditions that have bolstered demand for heating.
A variety of supply factors have also contributed to the power shortages. In areas such as Hunan, renewables contributions, particularly from hydropower, have been weak as a result of weather conditions. Regulatory pressures to curb thermal power carbon dioxide emissions in order to meet targets under the 13th Five Year Plan (ending in 2020) have also played a role in regions like Zhejiang.
Coal market dynamics have aggravated the situation. The government’s supply-side reform agenda has sought to improve the underlying stability of domestic coal markets by trimming excess supply, but in the near term this has reduced capacity to meet spikes in demand. Supplies have been dented further by tougher mining permit reviews and safety checks in Inner Mongolia, an important production region, and the impact of cold weather on transport systems and production in northern China.
Restrictions on imports of thermal coal from Australia may also have played a role at the margin. Such imports are small relative to total demand, and China has increased coal imports from other producers like Indonesia, but the curbs may have increased the vulnerability of local coal prices to demand spikes.
Meanwhile, in some provinces gas-fired power plants have failed to play their usual role in smoothing peak-load adjustments, as gas supplies were prioritised for heating in northern China. Gas-fired power’s contribution to generation has risen in January as additional gas has been sourced for heating, easing supply constraints.
There is no fuel-cost pass-through for coal. High energy prices will thus dampen near-term profitability among generating companies (gencos) with greater reliance on coal. This could affect Fitch-rated companies such as China Huaneng Group (A/Stable), China Huadian Corporation (A/Stable), State Power Investment Corporation (A/Stable), Guangdong Energy Group (A/Stable) and Zhejiang Provincial Energy (A/Stable). However, strong demand should raise capacity utilisation and reduce the price discount on market-traded power, offsetting the impact slightly.
Upstream producers such as Yanzhou Coal (BB-/Rating Watch Positive) and the three national oil companies should benefit from these same dynamics. However, we still expect coal prices to trend lower in the longer term, as the government remains committed to reducing coal’s share in the national energy mix.
The State Council stated on 8 January that development of natural gas and coal storage facilities, and emergency back-up power systems, would be accelerated. We have already budgeted high levels of capex for most power gencos in the medium term, focused mostly on renewable energy, and do not expect to change our forecasts significantly owing to the recent disruption. In addition, we do not expect substantial additional investment in LNG storage, but believe the government will accelerate approvals for new gas storage facilities and slow the phase-out of coal-fired power plants.
The government may also encourage provinces with power shortages to make greater use of imports, which could benefit issuers from surplus regions like Gansu Province Electric Power Investment (BBB-/Stable). Inter-provincial ultra-high-voltage distribution lines are available, but have been underutilised during the current situation as the supporting coal-fired power has not been available.
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Wednesday, 13 January 21
COAL TO BE BIGGEST CONTRIBUTOR TO INDIA'S $5 TRILLION ECONOMY: AMIT SHAH - BUSINESS STANDARD
The Centre on Monday awarded the letter of allocation to successful bidders of coal mines under the commercial auction held during October-November ...
Monday, 11 January 21
MUTED COAL RECOVERY IN 2021 - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Coal demand is expected to rebound in 2021
Medium-term outlook is less favourable although demand declines are expected to be subtle ...
Sunday, 10 January 21
KOREAN GENCOS INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 880,000 TONS OF COAL FOR MARCH 2021 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea South-East Power Co., Ltd. (KOEN), on behalf of EWP, KOSPO, KOSEP and KOWEPO issued an international tender for total 880 ...
Friday, 08 January 21
INDIA COULD COMPETE AGAINST CHINA IN SOLAR MODULE PRODUCTION WITH THE RIGHT GOVERNMENT SUPPORT - IEEFA
The focus should be on helping manufacturers become globally competitive
Although one of the top 10 solar module producers in the world, India ...
Thursday, 07 January 21
FITCH FORECASTS DOUBLING IN ASIAN WIND, SOLAR CAPACITY BY 2029, TOPPING 1,500GW
Despite some near-term delays due to the Covid-19 pandemic, solar power and offshore wind will drive steep growth in non-hydro renewables in Asia, ...
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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