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Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
 After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global economic recovery in 2021 is expected to drive a short-lived rebound in coal demand following the major drop this year triggered by the Covid-19 crisis, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency.
However, there is little sign that the world’s coal consumption is set to decline substantially in the coming years, with rising demand in some Asian economies offsetting declines elsewhere. As coal is by far the single largest source of global energy-related carbon emissions, the trends outlined in the report pose a major challenge to efforts to put those emissions on a path compatible with reaching climate and sustainable energy goals.
The past two years have seen historic falls in global coal demand, led by unprecedented drops in the United States and Europe, says Coal 2020, the latest edition of the IEA’s annual market report on the sector. A 1.8% decline in coal demand in 2019 resulted mainly from weak growth in electricity demand and low natural gas prices. Latest estimates from the IEA suggest coal demand will have plunged by a further 5% in 2020 on the economic fallout from Covid-19.
“The Covid-19 crisis has completely reshaped global coal markets. Before the pandemic, we expected a small rebound in coal demand in 2020, but we have since witnessed the largest drop in coal consumption since the Second World War,” said Keisuke Sadamori, the IEA’s Director of Energy Markets and Security. “The decline would have been even steeper without the strong economic rebound in China – the world’s largest coal consumer – in the second half of the year.”
Based on the assumption of a recovery in the world economy, the IEA report forecasts a 2.6% rise in global coal demand in 2021, driven by higher electricity demand and industrial output. China, India and Southeast Asian economies account for most of the growth, although the United States and Europe may also both see their first increases in coal consumption in nearly a decade. However, global coal demand in 2021 is still forecast to remain below 2019 levels and could be even lower if the report’s assumptions for the economic recovery, electricity demand or natural gas prices are not met.
The rebound in coal demand in 2021 is set to be short-lived, with coal use forecast to flatten out by 2025 at around 7.4 billion tonnes. This would make 2013, when global coal demand reached 8 billion tonnes, coal’s all-time peak. But while coal’s share in both the electricity mix and the overall energy mix are in steady decline, coal use in absolute terms is not set for a rapid decline in the immediate future.
“Renewables are on track to surpass coal as the largest source of electricity in the world by 2025. And by that time, natural gas will likely have taken over coal as the second largest source of primary energy after oil,” said Mr Sadamori. “But with coal demand still expected to remain steady or to grow in key Asian economies, there is no sign that coal is going to fade away quickly.”
The future of coal will largely be decided in Asia. Today, China and India account for 65% of global coal demand. With Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Southeast Asia included, that share rises to 75%. China, which currently accounts for half of the world’s coal consumption, will be especially influential. By 2025, the European Union and United States will account for less than 10% of global coal demand, down from 37% in 2000. This will make the impacts of any further changes in demand in these markets very limited.
Source: IEA - Press Release
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Wednesday, 02 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It has been another busy week in the dry bulk secondhand market; a healthy number of sales reported predominantly from Japanese owners while owner& ...
Thursday, 26 November 20
DECLINE IN COAL EXPORTS ADDS TO NAVAJO-OWNED COMPANY'S PROBLEMS - IEEFA U.S.
Weak demand and low prices are likely creating steep losses for NTEC
U.S. coal exports to Asia—once heralded as the saving gra ...
Thursday, 26 November 20
COAL FINANCING QUICKLY DRYING UP WORLDWIDE - ANALYSTS : REUTERS
Financing for coal projects is drying up at ever increasing rates as more countries target zero carbon emissions amid an energy transition sweeping ...
Wednesday, 25 November 20
LIBOR REPLACEMENT AND SHIP FINANCE - WHERE IS IT HEADING? - WFW
The likely replacement of the LIBOR at the end of 2021 creates difficult technical and practical issues for all sectors of business and finance. Th ...
Wednesday, 25 November 20
DRY BULK SHIPPING: CHINA REMAINS THE DRIVING FACTOR, BUT COAL POLICY IS DISRUPTING THE MARKET - PETER SAND, BIMCO
The second half of the year has provided some cheer for the dry bulk market, with all ships in the spot market averaging earnings above the break-e ...
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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- The University of Queensland
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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