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Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global economic recovery in 2021 is expected to drive a short-lived rebound in coal demand following the major drop this year triggered by the Covid-19 crisis, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency.
However, there is little sign that the world’s coal consumption is set to decline substantially in the coming years, with rising demand in some Asian economies offsetting declines elsewhere. As coal is by far the single largest source of global energy-related carbon emissions, the trends outlined in the report pose a major challenge to efforts to put those emissions on a path compatible with reaching climate and sustainable energy goals.
The past two years have seen historic falls in global coal demand, led by unprecedented drops in the United States and Europe, says Coal 2020, the latest edition of the IEA’s annual market report on the sector. A 1.8% decline in coal demand in 2019 resulted mainly from weak growth in electricity demand and low natural gas prices. Latest estimates from the IEA suggest coal demand will have plunged by a further 5% in 2020 on the economic fallout from Covid-19.
“The Covid-19 crisis has completely reshaped global coal markets. Before the pandemic, we expected a small rebound in coal demand in 2020, but we have since witnessed the largest drop in coal consumption since the Second World War,” said Keisuke Sadamori, the IEA’s Director of Energy Markets and Security. “The decline would have been even steeper without the strong economic rebound in China – the world’s largest coal consumer – in the second half of the year.”
Based on the assumption of a recovery in the world economy, the IEA report forecasts a 2.6% rise in global coal demand in 2021, driven by higher electricity demand and industrial output. China, India and Southeast Asian economies account for most of the growth, although the United States and Europe may also both see their first increases in coal consumption in nearly a decade. However, global coal demand in 2021 is still forecast to remain below 2019 levels and could be even lower if the report’s assumptions for the economic recovery, electricity demand or natural gas prices are not met.
The rebound in coal demand in 2021 is set to be short-lived, with coal use forecast to flatten out by 2025 at around 7.4 billion tonnes. This would make 2013, when global coal demand reached 8 billion tonnes, coal’s all-time peak. But while coal’s share in both the electricity mix and the overall energy mix are in steady decline, coal use in absolute terms is not set for a rapid decline in the immediate future.
“Renewables are on track to surpass coal as the largest source of electricity in the world by 2025. And by that time, natural gas will likely have taken over coal as the second largest source of primary energy after oil,” said Mr Sadamori. “But with coal demand still expected to remain steady or to grow in key Asian economies, there is no sign that coal is going to fade away quickly.”
The future of coal will largely be decided in Asia. Today, China and India account for 65% of global coal demand. With Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Southeast Asia included, that share rises to 75%. China, which currently accounts for half of the world’s coal consumption, will be especially influential. By 2025, the European Union and United States will account for less than 10% of global coal demand, down from 37% in 2000. This will make the impacts of any further changes in demand in these markets very limited.
Source: IEA - Press Release
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Tuesday, 08 December 20
PANAMAX: THE OVERALL MARKET SEEMS TO BE UNDER NEGATIVE PRESSURE - ALLIED
Capesize
A rather indifferent week for the Capesize market, with BCI 5TC figure finishing the week with slight losses of 0.8%. The Atlantic enj ...
Friday, 04 December 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Friday, 04 December 20
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE REACHES THREE MONTH HIGH ON IMPROVING DEMAND OUTLOOK
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Price Reference reaches three month high on improving demand outlook . The Indonesia Coal Price Reference rose by& ...
Wednesday, 02 December 20
GLOBAL MINING SECTOR OUTLOOK STABLE DUE TO CHINA'S RECOVERY - FITCH RATINGS
China’s post-pandemic economic recovery and sizeable infrastructure-focused government stimulus boosted global metals and mining prices, help ...
Wednesday, 02 December 20
INDONESIA CONSIDERING CLOSING 3,400MW SURALAYA COAL PLANT - THE JAKARTA POST
The government is considering to shut down the aging Suralaya coal-fired power plant (PLTU) in Cilegon, Banten, and replace it with green energy, a ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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