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Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global economic recovery in 2021 is expected to drive a short-lived rebound in coal demand following the major drop this year triggered by the Covid-19 crisis, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency.
However, there is little sign that the world’s coal consumption is set to decline substantially in the coming years, with rising demand in some Asian economies offsetting declines elsewhere. As coal is by far the single largest source of global energy-related carbon emissions, the trends outlined in the report pose a major challenge to efforts to put those emissions on a path compatible with reaching climate and sustainable energy goals.
The past two years have seen historic falls in global coal demand, led by unprecedented drops in the United States and Europe, says Coal 2020, the latest edition of the IEA’s annual market report on the sector. A 1.8% decline in coal demand in 2019 resulted mainly from weak growth in electricity demand and low natural gas prices. Latest estimates from the IEA suggest coal demand will have plunged by a further 5% in 2020 on the economic fallout from Covid-19.
“The Covid-19 crisis has completely reshaped global coal markets. Before the pandemic, we expected a small rebound in coal demand in 2020, but we have since witnessed the largest drop in coal consumption since the Second World War,” said Keisuke Sadamori, the IEA’s Director of Energy Markets and Security. “The decline would have been even steeper without the strong economic rebound in China – the world’s largest coal consumer – in the second half of the year.”
Based on the assumption of a recovery in the world economy, the IEA report forecasts a 2.6% rise in global coal demand in 2021, driven by higher electricity demand and industrial output. China, India and Southeast Asian economies account for most of the growth, although the United States and Europe may also both see their first increases in coal consumption in nearly a decade. However, global coal demand in 2021 is still forecast to remain below 2019 levels and could be even lower if the report’s assumptions for the economic recovery, electricity demand or natural gas prices are not met.
The rebound in coal demand in 2021 is set to be short-lived, with coal use forecast to flatten out by 2025 at around 7.4 billion tonnes. This would make 2013, when global coal demand reached 8 billion tonnes, coal’s all-time peak. But while coal’s share in both the electricity mix and the overall energy mix are in steady decline, coal use in absolute terms is not set for a rapid decline in the immediate future.
“Renewables are on track to surpass coal as the largest source of electricity in the world by 2025. And by that time, natural gas will likely have taken over coal as the second largest source of primary energy after oil,” said Mr Sadamori. “But with coal demand still expected to remain steady or to grow in key Asian economies, there is no sign that coal is going to fade away quickly.”
The future of coal will largely be decided in Asia. Today, China and India account for 65% of global coal demand. With Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Southeast Asia included, that share rises to 75%. China, which currently accounts for half of the world’s coal consumption, will be especially influential. By 2025, the European Union and United States will account for less than 10% of global coal demand, down from 37% in 2000. This will make the impacts of any further changes in demand in these markets very limited.
Source: IEA - Press Release
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Thursday, 07 January 21
FITCH FORECASTS DOUBLING IN ASIAN WIND, SOLAR CAPACITY BY 2029, TOPPING 1,500GW
Despite some near-term delays due to the Covid-19 pandemic, solar power and offshore wind will drive steep growth in non-hydro renewables in Asia, ...
Wednesday, 06 January 21
INDONESIA EXCEEDS COAL PRODUCTION TARGET IN 2020
Indonesian coal production reached 557.54 Million Tons in 2020 1.37% higher than of last year’s total target of 550.00 Million Tons, accordin ...
Wednesday, 06 January 21
CHINESE CITIES REPORTEDLY GO DARK AS COUNTRY FACES SHORTAGE OF COAL, A MAJOR AUSTRALIAN EXPORT - CNBC
Several major Chinese cities have reportedly gone dark as authorities limit power usage, citing a shortage of coal.
Analysts said pr ...
Tuesday, 05 January 21
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 136 points Monday, up 0.91 percent week on week.
The index, released by China Ta ...
Tuesday, 05 January 21
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE SOARS TO HIGHEST ONE-MONTH INCREASE SINCE DECEMBER 2016
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for January 2021 settles above $75 for the first time since July 2019 and to highest one-month inc ...
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
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