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Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global economic recovery in 2021 is expected to drive a short-lived rebound in coal demand following the major drop this year triggered by the Covid-19 crisis, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency.
However, there is little sign that the world’s coal consumption is set to decline substantially in the coming years, with rising demand in some Asian economies offsetting declines elsewhere. As coal is by far the single largest source of global energy-related carbon emissions, the trends outlined in the report pose a major challenge to efforts to put those emissions on a path compatible with reaching climate and sustainable energy goals.
The past two years have seen historic falls in global coal demand, led by unprecedented drops in the United States and Europe, says Coal 2020, the latest edition of the IEA’s annual market report on the sector. A 1.8% decline in coal demand in 2019 resulted mainly from weak growth in electricity demand and low natural gas prices. Latest estimates from the IEA suggest coal demand will have plunged by a further 5% in 2020 on the economic fallout from Covid-19.
“The Covid-19 crisis has completely reshaped global coal markets. Before the pandemic, we expected a small rebound in coal demand in 2020, but we have since witnessed the largest drop in coal consumption since the Second World War,” said Keisuke Sadamori, the IEA’s Director of Energy Markets and Security. “The decline would have been even steeper without the strong economic rebound in China – the world’s largest coal consumer – in the second half of the year.”
Based on the assumption of a recovery in the world economy, the IEA report forecasts a 2.6% rise in global coal demand in 2021, driven by higher electricity demand and industrial output. China, India and Southeast Asian economies account for most of the growth, although the United States and Europe may also both see their first increases in coal consumption in nearly a decade. However, global coal demand in 2021 is still forecast to remain below 2019 levels and could be even lower if the report’s assumptions for the economic recovery, electricity demand or natural gas prices are not met.
The rebound in coal demand in 2021 is set to be short-lived, with coal use forecast to flatten out by 2025 at around 7.4 billion tonnes. This would make 2013, when global coal demand reached 8 billion tonnes, coal’s all-time peak. But while coal’s share in both the electricity mix and the overall energy mix are in steady decline, coal use in absolute terms is not set for a rapid decline in the immediate future.
“Renewables are on track to surpass coal as the largest source of electricity in the world by 2025. And by that time, natural gas will likely have taken over coal as the second largest source of primary energy after oil,” said Mr Sadamori. “But with coal demand still expected to remain steady or to grow in key Asian economies, there is no sign that coal is going to fade away quickly.”
The future of coal will largely be decided in Asia. Today, China and India account for 65% of global coal demand. With Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Southeast Asia included, that share rises to 75%. China, which currently accounts for half of the world’s coal consumption, will be especially influential. By 2025, the European Union and United States will account for less than 10% of global coal demand, down from 37% in 2000. This will make the impacts of any further changes in demand in these markets very limited.
Source: IEA - Press Release
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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power short ...
Wednesday, 13 January 21
COAL TO BE BIGGEST CONTRIBUTOR TO INDIA'S $5 TRILLION ECONOMY: AMIT SHAH - BUSINESS STANDARD
The Centre on Monday awarded the letter of allocation to successful bidders of coal mines under the commercial auction held during October-November ...
Monday, 11 January 21
MUTED COAL RECOVERY IN 2021 - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Coal demand is expected to rebound in 2021
Medium-term outlook is less favourable although demand declines are expected to be subtle ...
Sunday, 10 January 21
KOREAN GENCOS INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 880,000 TONS OF COAL FOR MARCH 2021 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea South-East Power Co., Ltd. (KOEN), on behalf of EWP, KOSPO, KOSEP and KOWEPO issued an international tender for total 880 ...
Friday, 08 January 21
INDIA COULD COMPETE AGAINST CHINA IN SOLAR MODULE PRODUCTION WITH THE RIGHT GOVERNMENT SUPPORT - IEEFA
The focus should be on helping manufacturers become globally competitive
Although one of the top 10 solar module producers in the world, India ...
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- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
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