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Wednesday, 30 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Spot rates for Capesize bulk carriers received a significant boost last week, however, there are certain reservations in the market regarding the potential levels we will see during the last quarter of the year. When looking at the iron ore market we notice various positive fundamentals driving and supporting the long term dynamics that are in turn, having an impact on the freight levels for the commodity.
Iron ore prices have now declined after surging to their highest levels in more than six years earlier in September this year, on the back of supply disruptions in Brazil and record steel output in China. Market watchers have warned of a possible near-term slowdown in prices this month, though major financial institutions and analysts have mentioned that strong Chinese demand will most likely support prices for the rest of the year. China’s dominance in iron ore consumption gives it considerable capacity to set global prices. Chinese steel production is forecasted to drop slightly to 987 million tonnes this year, before potentially rebounding to more than 1 billion tons in 2021. China imports more than 70% of seaborne iron ore to feed its steel industry -which is the world’s most prominent.
On the supply side, Australia is dominant as it tops global annual iron ore exports. The commodity earns the country a substantial AUD100 billion in annual revenue. Sources in Australia are expecting elevated iron ore prices for the next two years. It is projected that commodity exports of the country will again thrive in the year ahead, which highlights the economic opportunity presented by the absence of a high number of coronavirus cases in Western Australia - which is responsible for the vast majority of Australia's iron ore production. Australian miners have been enjoying the strongest iron ore prices in six years on the back of record Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, where dam safety and issues caused by the pandemic have adversely affected output levels.
Also underpinning iron ore prices in the short term are constraints on Brazilian supply. Vale SA is now facing tougher regulatory requirements following the consequences of the dam disaster coupled with the current coronavirus situation which is derailing production plans. In view of the above and the overall economic fundamentals, the country’s production is not expected to return to “normal” levels until late 2022. That being said, iron ore prices rose as high as $US130 a tonne in the past two months. Analysts predicted that iron ore would hold around $US100 a tonne "over coming months" and would gradually decline to be closer to $US85 a tonne by June 2021.
Given China’s important role in the dry bulk market and in particular it’s influence on the freight levels of the Capesize segment, it is always interesting to keep an eye on its development and recovery in industrial production. China’s intensive import levels have, so far, been enough to support market fundamentals and rates. However, volatility is still there for the dry bulk market and hopefully the rest of the world will also follow suit in the recovery wave at some point soon.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 29 September 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.73 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 125.91 points Monday, up 0.73 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
SHIPPING MARKET - ALLIED
Here we are, just a short breath before the final quarter of the year, and many are now debating to what extent we can really expect a firm dry bul ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
INDONESIAN COAL COMPANIES' EARNINGS TO WEAKEN IN 2H20 - FITCH RATINGS
Rated Indonesian coal miners and contractors will have weaker operating and financial performances in the second half of 2020 than in the first, sa ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
RUSSIA'S COAL PRODUCTION TO DROP BY 10.5% IN 2020, SAYS MINISTRY - TASS
Russia’s Economic Development Ministry projects a 10.5% decrease in coal production in the country in 2020 compared with last year to 395 mln ...
Monday, 28 September 20
NEW LNG PROJECTS - ALL DRESSED UP AND NO PLACE TO GO - WOOD MACKENZIE
It was meant to be another boom year. After a record 70 mmtpa of new LNG capacity was sanctioned in 2019, at least as much capacity was lined up fo ...
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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