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Wednesday, 30 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Spot rates for Capesize bulk carriers received a significant boost last week, however, there are certain reservations in the market regarding the potential levels we will see during the last quarter of the year. When looking at the iron ore market we notice various positive fundamentals driving and supporting the long term dynamics that are in turn, having an impact on the freight levels for the commodity.
Iron ore prices have now declined after surging to their highest levels in more than six years earlier in September this year, on the back of supply disruptions in Brazil and record steel output in China. Market watchers have warned of a possible near-term slowdown in prices this month, though major financial institutions and analysts have mentioned that strong Chinese demand will most likely support prices for the rest of the year. China’s dominance in iron ore consumption gives it considerable capacity to set global prices. Chinese steel production is forecasted to drop slightly to 987 million tonnes this year, before potentially rebounding to more than 1 billion tons in 2021. China imports more than 70% of seaborne iron ore to feed its steel industry -which is the world’s most prominent.
On the supply side, Australia is dominant as it tops global annual iron ore exports. The commodity earns the country a substantial AUD100 billion in annual revenue. Sources in Australia are expecting elevated iron ore prices for the next two years. It is projected that commodity exports of the country will again thrive in the year ahead, which highlights the economic opportunity presented by the absence of a high number of coronavirus cases in Western Australia - which is responsible for the vast majority of Australia's iron ore production. Australian miners have been enjoying the strongest iron ore prices in six years on the back of record Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, where dam safety and issues caused by the pandemic have adversely affected output levels.
Also underpinning iron ore prices in the short term are constraints on Brazilian supply. Vale SA is now facing tougher regulatory requirements following the consequences of the dam disaster coupled with the current coronavirus situation which is derailing production plans. In view of the above and the overall economic fundamentals, the country’s production is not expected to return to “normal” levels until late 2022. That being said, iron ore prices rose as high as $US130 a tonne in the past two months. Analysts predicted that iron ore would hold around $US100 a tonne "over coming months" and would gradually decline to be closer to $US85 a tonne by June 2021.
Given China’s important role in the dry bulk market and in particular it’s influence on the freight levels of the Capesize segment, it is always interesting to keep an eye on its development and recovery in industrial production. China’s intensive import levels have, so far, been enough to support market fundamentals and rates. However, volatility is still there for the dry bulk market and hopefully the rest of the world will also follow suit in the recovery wave at some point soon.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 14 October 20
CHINA COKING COAL FUTURES RALLY ON REPORTED BAN ON AUSTRALIA CARGOES - REUTERS
Dalian coking coal futures rallied for a sixth straight session on Tuesday after reports surfaced that China had stopped buying coal from Australia ...
Wednesday, 14 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The tanker market has experienced severe freight rate and asset value declines over the past 5 months. A potential market upturn may arise in the c ...
Friday, 09 October 20
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS IMPROVE SOMEWHAT, BUT RECOVERY IS UNEVEN - REUTERS
India’s coal imports, depressed by the impact of coronavirus this year, regained ground in September, but in an uneven uptick – shipmen ...
Thursday, 08 October 20
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS FROM INDONESIA DECLINED 16.4% Y-O-Y, TO 80.2 MLN TONNES IN THE FIRST 9 MONTHS OF 2020 - BANCHERO COSTA
China's coal imports boomed in 2019, surprising many who had expected the government would clamp down strictly on shipments.
...
Thursday, 08 October 20
GLIMMER OF LIGHT FOR COAL, BUT SHORT TERM - FNARENA
Is coal on the rebound? Demand appears stronger and supply reductions have underpinned a tightening market. Certainly, the Newcastle thermal coal p ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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