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Wednesday, 19 August 20
INDIA SAW A SHARP DECLINE IN ENERGY COAL IMPORTS IN JANUARY - JUNE 2020; –27 PER CENT YOY - BHP
 Energy coal prices were weak in the second half of financial year 2020, BHP says in its Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20.
According to BHP, the gCNewc 6000 kcal/kg FOB Newcastle index (hereafter 6000kcal) averaged around $61/t over the half, down from around $68/t in the first half of financial 2020. Prices ranged from a high of around $74/t to a low of around $50/t. That is below the 2015/16 trough in real terms. Based on the Wood Mackenzie operating cost curve, more than half of seaborne supply (comprising all grades of energy coal) was likely experiencing negative margins with 6000kcal prices in the low $50s.
The 5500kcal index averaged around $49/t over the same period, with a high of around $58/t and a low of around $38/t, which was where it closed out the half year.
BHP’s Economic and Commodity Outlook further noted that, the spread between the spot indexes for gCNewc 6000kcal and 5500kcal reverted to historical average of close to 20 per cent in the second half of financial year 2020, down from around 30 per cent in the 2019 calendar year.
“While not directly relevant to our business, there was a compression of spreads between the lower grades of energy coal (the 5000, 4200 and 3400 gross–as–received29 kcal brackets) as prices traded deep into the cost curve. Supply has been “sticky” in most export jurisdictions, with the exception of Indonesia, where output has been materially lower. Indonesian supply is prominent in these lower quality brackets” says BHP. Developed Asian markets, who are the largest buyers of >5500kcal product, have been weak under the shadow of COVID–19. Japanese imports contracted by –3 per cent YoY in the first half of the 2020 calendar year, while power demand was down -4 per cent YoY, South Korean imports contracted by –11% per cent.
Chinese demand for seaborne energy coal according to BHP’s Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20, rebounded as lockdowns were lifted, with consumption of coal at coastal power plants back in the normal seasonal range by April 2020. Hydro generation has been inconsistent, along with the weather, with dry conditions early in the year then giving way to floods. The market consensus has been that the 271–281 Mt import inflow registered in calendar years 2017 and 2018 would serve as an informal objective for total coal imports (including metallurgical and lignite) in calendar 2020, rather than assuming that the jump to around 300Mt in 2019 was the new norm. Enforcement of quotas by month and by port, including clamping down on the practice of trading firms clearing customs at one port but discharging at another, have been somewhat effective. Even so, with so much product being forced to clear to China under the Great Lockdown, some provinces and individual ports had already exhausted full year quotas by May.
India saw a sharp decline in energy coal imports in January – June 2020 (–27 per cent YoY). Power demand declined by –7 per cent YoY in the same period, while domestic coal output was quite resilient, at –3 per cent YoY.
Demand from the Atlantic and Mediterranean regions was weak in advance of COVID–19 and lockdowns have deepened the malaise. In calendar 2019, the weakness reflected commercially driven coal–to–gas switching in parts of Europe, where relatively cheap pipeline gas and LNG imports, plus a steep rise in the price of European Carbon Allowances (ECAs)30, have driven generator behaviour. In calendar 2020 to date, all of these factors have remained in place and in some instances they have been amplified by COVID–19: and demand for power itself has now fallen sharply. Renewables have been able to take a larger share of that shrinking pie BHP concluded in its latest Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20.
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Monday, 29 June 20
ULTRAMAX: A 58,000 FIXING DELIVERY SINGAPORE TRIP, VIA EAST COAST INDIA, REDELIVERY CHINA IN THE LOW $12,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
As the halfway mark of 2020 arrives, the capesize market is making new highs for the year. From persistent lows earlier caused by a ba ...
Saturday, 27 June 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINS FLAT - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price remained flat during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Friday, 26 June 20
WHAT TODAY'S BAILOUTS CAN DO FOR TOMORROW'S ECONOMIES - WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
The COVID-19 crisis provides an opportunity for governments to build fairer, more sustainable and more resilient economies.
Governments a ...
Thursday, 25 June 20
ALL YOU WANT TO KNOW ABOUT COAL MINE AUCTIONS - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
Last week, Prime Minister Narendra Modi threw open the auction of 41 coal blocks for commercial mining. The decision, which was part of the announc ...
Wednesday, 24 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The World Bank estimates that the global economy will fall by 5.2% this year, underlining that the Covid-19 pandemic has had rapid and massive cons ...
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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