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Wednesday, 19 August 20
INDIA SAW A SHARP DECLINE IN ENERGY COAL IMPORTS IN JANUARY - JUNE 2020; –27 PER CENT YOY - BHP
 Energy coal prices were weak in the second half of financial year 2020, BHP says in its Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20.
According to BHP, the gCNewc 6000 kcal/kg FOB Newcastle index (hereafter 6000kcal) averaged around $61/t over the half, down from around $68/t in the first half of financial 2020. Prices ranged from a high of around $74/t to a low of around $50/t. That is below the 2015/16 trough in real terms. Based on the Wood Mackenzie operating cost curve, more than half of seaborne supply (comprising all grades of energy coal) was likely experiencing negative margins with 6000kcal prices in the low $50s.
The 5500kcal index averaged around $49/t over the same period, with a high of around $58/t and a low of around $38/t, which was where it closed out the half year.
BHP’s Economic and Commodity Outlook further noted that, the spread between the spot indexes for gCNewc 6000kcal and 5500kcal reverted to historical average of close to 20 per cent in the second half of financial year 2020, down from around 30 per cent in the 2019 calendar year.
“While not directly relevant to our business, there was a compression of spreads between the lower grades of energy coal (the 5000, 4200 and 3400 gross–as–received29 kcal brackets) as prices traded deep into the cost curve. Supply has been “sticky” in most export jurisdictions, with the exception of Indonesia, where output has been materially lower. Indonesian supply is prominent in these lower quality brackets” says BHP. Developed Asian markets, who are the largest buyers of >5500kcal product, have been weak under the shadow of COVID–19. Japanese imports contracted by –3 per cent YoY in the first half of the 2020 calendar year, while power demand was down -4 per cent YoY, South Korean imports contracted by –11% per cent.
Chinese demand for seaborne energy coal according to BHP’s Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20, rebounded as lockdowns were lifted, with consumption of coal at coastal power plants back in the normal seasonal range by April 2020. Hydro generation has been inconsistent, along with the weather, with dry conditions early in the year then giving way to floods. The market consensus has been that the 271–281 Mt import inflow registered in calendar years 2017 and 2018 would serve as an informal objective for total coal imports (including metallurgical and lignite) in calendar 2020, rather than assuming that the jump to around 300Mt in 2019 was the new norm. Enforcement of quotas by month and by port, including clamping down on the practice of trading firms clearing customs at one port but discharging at another, have been somewhat effective. Even so, with so much product being forced to clear to China under the Great Lockdown, some provinces and individual ports had already exhausted full year quotas by May.
India saw a sharp decline in energy coal imports in January – June 2020 (–27 per cent YoY). Power demand declined by –7 per cent YoY in the same period, while domestic coal output was quite resilient, at –3 per cent YoY.
Demand from the Atlantic and Mediterranean regions was weak in advance of COVID–19 and lockdowns have deepened the malaise. In calendar 2019, the weakness reflected commercially driven coal–to–gas switching in parts of Europe, where relatively cheap pipeline gas and LNG imports, plus a steep rise in the price of European Carbon Allowances (ECAs)30, have driven generator behaviour. In calendar 2020 to date, all of these factors have remained in place and in some instances they have been amplified by COVID–19: and demand for power itself has now fallen sharply. Renewables have been able to take a larger share of that shrinking pie BHP concluded in its latest Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20.
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Wednesday, 12 August 20
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2020 WILL DECREASE BY 29% FROM 2019 LEVELS TO 502 MMST - EIA
U.S. coal consumption, which dropped to its lowest point since April, totaled 95 MMst in the second quarter of 2020.
EIA expec ...
Tuesday, 11 August 20
BHP COAL ASSETS WORTH A BILLION LESS THAN JUST TWO YEARS AGO - IEEFA
Another global investor, the UK’s biggest public pension fund NEST, has withdrawn funds from BHP this week because the company is profiting & ...
Monday, 10 August 20
COAL IMPORT DROPS 43% IN JULY OWING TO HIGH STOCKPILE AT PITHEADS, PLANTS - PTI
“The market participants seem to have adopted a wait and watch approach and are currently looking for a direction. We do not expect to see an ...
Saturday, 08 August 20
GLOBAL COAL POWER PUZZLE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Global Energy Monitor’s latest Global Coal Plant Tracker has put another nail in the coffin for the coal-carrying fleet with its finding that ...
Friday, 07 August 20
PEABODY'S $1.42 BILLION WRITE-DOWN CONCEDES COAL MINES HAVE LITTLE VALUE AND DIM FUTURE - IEEFA
Trouble at biggest mine in Powder River Basin speaks volumes about state of industry
Peabody Energy, the world’s largest priva ...
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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