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Wednesday, 19 August 20
INDIA SAW A SHARP DECLINE IN ENERGY COAL IMPORTS IN JANUARY - JUNE 2020; –27 PER CENT YOY - BHP
 Energy coal prices were weak in the second half of financial year 2020, BHP says in its Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20.
According to BHP, the gCNewc 6000 kcal/kg FOB Newcastle index (hereafter 6000kcal) averaged around $61/t over the half, down from around $68/t in the first half of financial 2020. Prices ranged from a high of around $74/t to a low of around $50/t. That is below the 2015/16 trough in real terms. Based on the Wood Mackenzie operating cost curve, more than half of seaborne supply (comprising all grades of energy coal) was likely experiencing negative margins with 6000kcal prices in the low $50s.
The 5500kcal index averaged around $49/t over the same period, with a high of around $58/t and a low of around $38/t, which was where it closed out the half year.
BHP’s Economic and Commodity Outlook further noted that, the spread between the spot indexes for gCNewc 6000kcal and 5500kcal reverted to historical average of close to 20 per cent in the second half of financial year 2020, down from around 30 per cent in the 2019 calendar year.
“While not directly relevant to our business, there was a compression of spreads between the lower grades of energy coal (the 5000, 4200 and 3400 gross–as–received29 kcal brackets) as prices traded deep into the cost curve. Supply has been “sticky” in most export jurisdictions, with the exception of Indonesia, where output has been materially lower. Indonesian supply is prominent in these lower quality brackets” says BHP. Developed Asian markets, who are the largest buyers of >5500kcal product, have been weak under the shadow of COVID–19. Japanese imports contracted by –3 per cent YoY in the first half of the 2020 calendar year, while power demand was down -4 per cent YoY, South Korean imports contracted by –11% per cent.
Chinese demand for seaborne energy coal according to BHP’s Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20, rebounded as lockdowns were lifted, with consumption of coal at coastal power plants back in the normal seasonal range by April 2020. Hydro generation has been inconsistent, along with the weather, with dry conditions early in the year then giving way to floods. The market consensus has been that the 271–281 Mt import inflow registered in calendar years 2017 and 2018 would serve as an informal objective for total coal imports (including metallurgical and lignite) in calendar 2020, rather than assuming that the jump to around 300Mt in 2019 was the new norm. Enforcement of quotas by month and by port, including clamping down on the practice of trading firms clearing customs at one port but discharging at another, have been somewhat effective. Even so, with so much product being forced to clear to China under the Great Lockdown, some provinces and individual ports had already exhausted full year quotas by May.
India saw a sharp decline in energy coal imports in January – June 2020 (–27 per cent YoY). Power demand declined by –7 per cent YoY in the same period, while domestic coal output was quite resilient, at –3 per cent YoY.
Demand from the Atlantic and Mediterranean regions was weak in advance of COVID–19 and lockdowns have deepened the malaise. In calendar 2019, the weakness reflected commercially driven coal–to–gas switching in parts of Europe, where relatively cheap pipeline gas and LNG imports, plus a steep rise in the price of European Carbon Allowances (ECAs)30, have driven generator behaviour. In calendar 2020 to date, all of these factors have remained in place and in some instances they have been amplified by COVID–19: and demand for power itself has now fallen sharply. Renewables have been able to take a larger share of that shrinking pie BHP concluded in its latest Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20.
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Friday, 14 August 20
EIA: COAL PLANTS UNECONOMICAL IN MOST REGIONS - IEEFA
U.S. coal power generation plunged by 30 percent in the first half of 2020 off an already-depressed base, shoved out by natural gas and renewables ...
Thursday, 13 August 20
INDIA SHOULD RECORD A SLIGHT DECREASE IN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS, REACHING A VOLUME OF 167 MILLION TONS BY THE END OF 2020 - ASSOCARBONI
Regarding 2020 thermal coal imports forecasts, Vietnam’s coal imports showed a very strong growth in the first half of 2020 and it is believe ...
Thursday, 13 August 20
INDONESIA REMAINS THE LARGEST EXPORTER OF COAL IN THE WORLD - ASSOCARBONI
According to the last Assocarboni data for 2019, Indonesia remains the largest exporter in the world. Thermal coal exports have in fact reached 456 ...
Wednesday, 12 August 20
VIETNAM WAS THE PROTAGONIST OF A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN COAL IMPORTS IN 2019 - ASSOCARBONI
The latest Assocarboni data for 2019 also provide a detailed picture on the trend of the global coal import.
According to Assocarbon ...
Wednesday, 12 August 20
THE COAL MARKET IN ITALY - ASSOCARBONI
Italy, which in 2019 reported a decrease in thermal coal imports, with a volume of 7,5 million tons (-32% compared to 11 million tons in 2018), whi ...
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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