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Wednesday, 05 August 20
SLUMP IN OIL REVENUE CHALLENGES MIDDLE EAST OIL EXPORTERS - INTERMODAL
 The Covid-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global capital markets. Despite the US government’s efforts for a quick and decisive response to Covid-19, unemployment rates rocketed to unprecedented figures. This was a key contributor to the near one-third shrinkage of the economy. Driving restrictions within the US and the decline in countrywide GDP have adversely affected gasoline and oil demand throughout the nation.
Being one of the most predominant global crude oil consumers, South Korea has seen its exports plummet to significant lows. This is likely to cause a nationwide recession which will further reduce global demand for oil. Chinese oil demand has gradually softened thus reducing the price per oil barrel in Asia. At the same time, derivative markets which add value to North Sea crude oil grades, are in a frail state.
The oil consumption outlook does not appear to be any better in Europe, with Finnish refiner Neste Oyj predicting that demand for oil products will remain “severely reduced” in the third quarter. Despite the recent historic deal between OPEC+ nations to cut global oil output, crude oil remains priced at around $40/barrel. Energy analyst C. Markits predicts an average price of $43/barrel for Brent in July; this figure may rise to $50 by December provided that oil demand will begin to recover. However, this is just one of many highly speculative scenarios.
The IMF argues that plunging crude prices coupled with global production cuts are expected to significantly affect oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa. Combined oil income for these exporting regions is projected to decrease by $270 billion y-o-y from 2019. According to S&P Global Ratings, country members of the Gulf Cooperation Council are set to accumulate a combined $490 billion in government deficits between 2020 and 2023.
Responses to the economic shock
Saudi Arabia tripled its VAT in the past month in an effort to reverse the deficit and revive its economy. This is expected to reduce its deficit by $27 billion. At the same time, the government announced the suspension of cost-of-living allowances for its employees. Additionally, several governmental operational and capital expenditures will either be cancelled, extended, or postponed whereas major projects will materialize under strictly reduced provisions. Saudi Arabia plans to privatize state-held assets in healthcare, education and water utility sectors to raise additional funds. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan argued at a Bloomberg forum that Arabian exporters could receive billions from such privatizations over the next five years.
Kuwait - which is one of the world’s wealthiest countries - is also facing a severe budget crunch. After having a running deficit that could reach 40 per cent of its economy this year, the Kuwaiti Finance Ministry is seeking permission from parliament to tap global debt markets for as much as $65 billion. However, Kuwait’s options are limited. The General Reserve Fund has been used aggressively in recent months. This has left its liquid assets in a vulnerable state and they could be further depleted within the current fiscal year, or by April 2021.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 21 August 20
BHP COMMITS TO SELLING ITS THERMAL COALMINES WITHIN TWO YEARS - THE GUARDIAN
Move follows pressure from investors but company stops short of full exit from coalmining
BHP has announced it plans to sell off its ...
Thursday, 20 August 20
MINER BHP CONFIRMS PLANS TO EXIT THERMAL COAL SECTOR - THE SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
The head of mining giant BHP has laid out plans for a reshaping of its global operations by seeking to quit thermal coal mining, offload some cokin ...
Thursday, 20 August 20
LONDON RETAINS ARBITER CROWN - BALTIC EXCHANGE | HFW
Fears that the UK’s decision to leave the European Union would dent the reputation of the nation’s capital as the leader in maritime ar ...
Wednesday, 19 August 20
U.S. COAL STOCKPILES STEADILY INCREASE AFTER REACHING LOWEST LEVEL IN A DECADE IN 2019 - EIA
After reaching their lowest level in more than a decade in March 2019, U.S. coal stockpiles steadily increased to 152 million tons in April 2020, r ...
Wednesday, 19 August 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.26 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 124.92 points Monday, down 0.26 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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