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Wednesday, 05 August 20
SLUMP IN OIL REVENUE CHALLENGES MIDDLE EAST OIL EXPORTERS - INTERMODAL
 The Covid-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global capital markets. Despite the US government’s efforts for a quick and decisive response to Covid-19, unemployment rates rocketed to unprecedented figures. This was a key contributor to the near one-third shrinkage of the economy. Driving restrictions within the US and the decline in countrywide GDP have adversely affected gasoline and oil demand throughout the nation.
Being one of the most predominant global crude oil consumers, South Korea has seen its exports plummet to significant lows. This is likely to cause a nationwide recession which will further reduce global demand for oil. Chinese oil demand has gradually softened thus reducing the price per oil barrel in Asia. At the same time, derivative markets which add value to North Sea crude oil grades, are in a frail state.
The oil consumption outlook does not appear to be any better in Europe, with Finnish refiner Neste Oyj predicting that demand for oil products will remain “severely reduced” in the third quarter. Despite the recent historic deal between OPEC+ nations to cut global oil output, crude oil remains priced at around $40/barrel. Energy analyst C. Markits predicts an average price of $43/barrel for Brent in July; this figure may rise to $50 by December provided that oil demand will begin to recover. However, this is just one of many highly speculative scenarios.
The IMF argues that plunging crude prices coupled with global production cuts are expected to significantly affect oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa. Combined oil income for these exporting regions is projected to decrease by $270 billion y-o-y from 2019. According to S&P Global Ratings, country members of the Gulf Cooperation Council are set to accumulate a combined $490 billion in government deficits between 2020 and 2023.
Responses to the economic shock
Saudi Arabia tripled its VAT in the past month in an effort to reverse the deficit and revive its economy. This is expected to reduce its deficit by $27 billion. At the same time, the government announced the suspension of cost-of-living allowances for its employees. Additionally, several governmental operational and capital expenditures will either be cancelled, extended, or postponed whereas major projects will materialize under strictly reduced provisions. Saudi Arabia plans to privatize state-held assets in healthcare, education and water utility sectors to raise additional funds. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan argued at a Bloomberg forum that Arabian exporters could receive billions from such privatizations over the next five years.
Kuwait - which is one of the world’s wealthiest countries - is also facing a severe budget crunch. After having a running deficit that could reach 40 per cent of its economy this year, the Kuwaiti Finance Ministry is seeking permission from parliament to tap global debt markets for as much as $65 billion. However, Kuwait’s options are limited. The General Reserve Fund has been used aggressively in recent months. This has left its liquid assets in a vulnerable state and they could be further depleted within the current fiscal year, or by April 2021.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 27 August 20
BANGLADESH POWER MINISTRY SEEKING AUTHORITY TO CANCEL 13,000 MW OF PROPOSED COAL-FIRED CAPACITY - BUSINESS STANDARD
In a bid to move away from dirty energy, the Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources is seeking the prime minister’s approval to conv ...
Wednesday, 26 August 20
ASIAN COAL PRICES LIKELY TO REMAIN DEPRESSED SAY TRADERS, ANALYSTS - REUTERS
Asian coal prices, which have fallen around 25% this year as power demand slumped due to the coronavirus outbreak, are unlikely to move higher befo ...
Wednesday, 26 August 20
WORLD COAL EXPORTS: INDONESIAN THERMAL COAL EXPORTS HAVE COME UNDER PRESSURE AS THERMAL COAL PRICES WEAKEN - REPORT
Indonesia’s exports to decline sharply from record highs
Indonesia is the world’s largest thermal coal exporter, sellin ...
Wednesday, 26 August 20
JAPAN'S COAL IMPORTS ARE BEING AFFECTED BY COMPETING INFLUENCES - REPORT
Japan is the world’s third largest thermal coal importer, importing an estimated 135 million tonnes of thermal coal in 2019. The country&rsqu ...
Wednesday, 26 August 20
PENDING SOUTH KOREA LEGISLATION COULD FORCE HALT TO COUNTRY’S COAL PLANT EXPORT DEALS - KOREA ECONOMIC DAILY
South Korea’s parliament looks set to pass new legislation to ban financing on foreign coal power projects, putting all overseas coal-fired p ...
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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