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Wednesday, 05 August 20
SLUMP IN OIL REVENUE CHALLENGES MIDDLE EAST OIL EXPORTERS - INTERMODAL
 The Covid-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global capital markets. Despite the US government’s efforts for a quick and decisive response to Covid-19, unemployment rates rocketed to unprecedented figures. This was a key contributor to the near one-third shrinkage of the economy. Driving restrictions within the US and the decline in countrywide GDP have adversely affected gasoline and oil demand throughout the nation.
Being one of the most predominant global crude oil consumers, South Korea has seen its exports plummet to significant lows. This is likely to cause a nationwide recession which will further reduce global demand for oil. Chinese oil demand has gradually softened thus reducing the price per oil barrel in Asia. At the same time, derivative markets which add value to North Sea crude oil grades, are in a frail state.
The oil consumption outlook does not appear to be any better in Europe, with Finnish refiner Neste Oyj predicting that demand for oil products will remain “severely reduced” in the third quarter. Despite the recent historic deal between OPEC+ nations to cut global oil output, crude oil remains priced at around $40/barrel. Energy analyst C. Markits predicts an average price of $43/barrel for Brent in July; this figure may rise to $50 by December provided that oil demand will begin to recover. However, this is just one of many highly speculative scenarios.
The IMF argues that plunging crude prices coupled with global production cuts are expected to significantly affect oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa. Combined oil income for these exporting regions is projected to decrease by $270 billion y-o-y from 2019. According to S&P Global Ratings, country members of the Gulf Cooperation Council are set to accumulate a combined $490 billion in government deficits between 2020 and 2023.
Responses to the economic shock
Saudi Arabia tripled its VAT in the past month in an effort to reverse the deficit and revive its economy. This is expected to reduce its deficit by $27 billion. At the same time, the government announced the suspension of cost-of-living allowances for its employees. Additionally, several governmental operational and capital expenditures will either be cancelled, extended, or postponed whereas major projects will materialize under strictly reduced provisions. Saudi Arabia plans to privatize state-held assets in healthcare, education and water utility sectors to raise additional funds. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan argued at a Bloomberg forum that Arabian exporters could receive billions from such privatizations over the next five years.
Kuwait - which is one of the world’s wealthiest countries - is also facing a severe budget crunch. After having a running deficit that could reach 40 per cent of its economy this year, the Kuwaiti Finance Ministry is seeking permission from parliament to tap global debt markets for as much as $65 billion. However, Kuwait’s options are limited. The General Reserve Fund has been used aggressively in recent months. This has left its liquid assets in a vulnerable state and they could be further depleted within the current fiscal year, or by April 2021.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 28 September 20
NEW LNG PROJECTS - ALL DRESSED UP AND NO PLACE TO GO - WOOD MACKENZIE
It was meant to be another boom year. After a record 70 mmtpa of new LNG capacity was sanctioned in 2019, at least as much capacity was lined up fo ...
Thursday, 24 September 20
SUPRAMAX: INDO TO INDIA FIXING AROUND US$13,000 - FEARNLEYS
Cape
Over the last week the iron ore segment from Brazil to China has picked up, and we see freight rates up USD 2 (12%) week on week Fearnleys ...
Thursday, 24 September 20
KOREA MIDLAND POWER TO BUY 1.92 MILLION TONS OF 4,300-4,700 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd, has issued an International tender for 640,000 MT 4,300-4,700 kcal/kg NCV coal per year.
  ...
Wednesday, 23 September 20
VIETNAM'S NEW POWER DEVELOPMENT PLAN MUST OPTIMIZE RENEWABLES AND AVOID FOSSIL FUEL LOCK-IN: IEEFA
EVN’s financial constraints leaves the utility with little room for error
Implementing Vietnam’s soon-to-be-launched next Power De ...
Wednesday, 23 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Undoubtedly, this year (ongoing) will never be forgotten because in a matter of months it has managed to severely affect and shape our day to day p ...
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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