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Wednesday, 05 August 20
SLUMP IN OIL REVENUE CHALLENGES MIDDLE EAST OIL EXPORTERS - INTERMODAL
 The Covid-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global capital markets. Despite the US government’s efforts for a quick and decisive response to Covid-19, unemployment rates rocketed to unprecedented figures. This was a key contributor to the near one-third shrinkage of the economy. Driving restrictions within the US and the decline in countrywide GDP have adversely affected gasoline and oil demand throughout the nation.
Being one of the most predominant global crude oil consumers, South Korea has seen its exports plummet to significant lows. This is likely to cause a nationwide recession which will further reduce global demand for oil. Chinese oil demand has gradually softened thus reducing the price per oil barrel in Asia. At the same time, derivative markets which add value to North Sea crude oil grades, are in a frail state.
The oil consumption outlook does not appear to be any better in Europe, with Finnish refiner Neste Oyj predicting that demand for oil products will remain “severely reduced” in the third quarter. Despite the recent historic deal between OPEC+ nations to cut global oil output, crude oil remains priced at around $40/barrel. Energy analyst C. Markits predicts an average price of $43/barrel for Brent in July; this figure may rise to $50 by December provided that oil demand will begin to recover. However, this is just one of many highly speculative scenarios.
The IMF argues that plunging crude prices coupled with global production cuts are expected to significantly affect oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa. Combined oil income for these exporting regions is projected to decrease by $270 billion y-o-y from 2019. According to S&P Global Ratings, country members of the Gulf Cooperation Council are set to accumulate a combined $490 billion in government deficits between 2020 and 2023.
Responses to the economic shock
Saudi Arabia tripled its VAT in the past month in an effort to reverse the deficit and revive its economy. This is expected to reduce its deficit by $27 billion. At the same time, the government announced the suspension of cost-of-living allowances for its employees. Additionally, several governmental operational and capital expenditures will either be cancelled, extended, or postponed whereas major projects will materialize under strictly reduced provisions. Saudi Arabia plans to privatize state-held assets in healthcare, education and water utility sectors to raise additional funds. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan argued at a Bloomberg forum that Arabian exporters could receive billions from such privatizations over the next five years.
Kuwait - which is one of the world’s wealthiest countries - is also facing a severe budget crunch. After having a running deficit that could reach 40 per cent of its economy this year, the Kuwaiti Finance Ministry is seeking permission from parliament to tap global debt markets for as much as $65 billion. However, Kuwait’s options are limited. The General Reserve Fund has been used aggressively in recent months. This has left its liquid assets in a vulnerable state and they could be further depleted within the current fiscal year, or by April 2021.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 25 November 20
DRY BULK SHIPPING: CHINA REMAINS THE DRIVING FACTOR, BUT COAL POLICY IS DISRUPTING THE MARKET - PETER SAND, BIMCO
The second half of the year has provided some cheer for the dry bulk market, with all ships in the spot market averaging earnings above the break-e ...
Wednesday, 25 November 20
CHINA KICKS AN OWN GOAL WITH AUSTRALIAN COAL - FORBES
China’s annoyance at Australia’s hardline stance on political interference and demands for an independent inquiry into the root cause o ...
Wednesday, 25 November 20
MINISTER - INDONESIA JAN-OCT COAL OUTPUT AT 459 MILLION TONNES - REUTERS
Indonesia coal output in the January to October period was 459 million tonnes, the country’s energy minister told parliament on Monday.
& ...
Wednesday, 25 November 20
INDIA: MORE STEPS NEEDED TO MAKE COMMERCIAL COAL MINING ATTRACTIVE TO GLOBAL PLAYERS - LIVEMINT
India concluded its first commercial coal mine auctions earlier this month. A total of 19 coal mines spread across Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, Odish ...
Wednesday, 25 November 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.38 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 129.21 points Monday, up 0.38 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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