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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 30 March 15
Q3' 15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: DECLINED 8.7% M-M; 12.77% Y-TO-D
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.00 (-8.70%) per MT month over month and US$ 1.33 (-2 ...
Monday, 30 March 15
Q2' FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 4.47% HIGHER THAN Q4' CLOSING PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.42 per MT (-10.43%) month over month and US$ 1.60 (-3.32%) w ...
Sunday, 29 March 15
INDO - INDIA: SUPRAMAX & PANAMAX FREIGHT MARKET STEADY
COALspot.com: The freight market was almost stable as all segments slightly up except Panamax sector.
The BDI was up by just 0.85% week over w ...
Saturday, 28 March 15
IS NORTHERN EUROPE THE NEW MINING ELDORADO?
The Europe Mining 2015 Summit, organised by Global Summits organizer IRN on 17-18 June in Amsterdam, The Netherlands, will gather senior level repr ...
Saturday, 28 March 15
THE DRY BULK FLEET AT BREAKING POINT - CLARKSONS
The severe oversupply in the bulkcarrier fleet has contributed to the current trough in the dry bulk market, putting considerable financial pressur ...
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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