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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 04 April 15
BORYEONG POWER OF KOMIPO TO BUY TOTALED 695K MT OF HIGH AND LCV COAL
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) is inviting bids from coal producers, marketing companies, or traders to supply of 500000 Metr ...
Friday, 03 April 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION STAYS FLAT
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.3 million short ...
Friday, 03 April 15
TOBA BARA'S PANDU SJAHRIR ELECTED AS NEW CHAIRMAN OF THE INDONESIAN COAL MINING ASSOCIATION
COALspot.com: Pandu Sjahrir, the Vice President Director & CFO of the Jakarta-listed PT Toba Bara Sejahtra — a subsidiary of PT Toba Seja ...
Thursday, 02 April 15
GOVERNMENT MUST WORK WITH MINING, NOT AGAINST IT - PANDU SJAHRIR
The Coal Face: The coal price has hit its lowest point in recent memory
My father used to say to me that his children are his biggest inv ...
Thursday, 02 April 15
NEWBUILDING ORDERS FOR DRY BULK CARRIERS "DRY" UP
Newbuilding ordering activity remained subdued over the course of the past week, as ship owners are wary of adding further tonnage to an already pr ...
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PTC India Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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