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Tuesday, 16 June 20
HIGHER IRON ORE PRICES OFFSET CORONAVIRUS-DRIVEN PRODUCTION RISK - FITCH RATINGS
 Lower iron ore production in Brazil, resulting from rising coronavirus infections, should only marginally affect the cash flow of Vale and other global mining companies due to higher prices, says Fitch Ratings. More than 10% of Vale’s production was affected last week when a local court suspended operations at its Itabira Complex due to employees testing positive for the virus.
Iron ore prices declined earlier this year due to demand concerns but later rebounded and are being supported by supply constraints caused by Vale’s 2019 dam accident and weather-related production disruptions. Prices increased to above USD100/dry metric ton (dmt) due to the news regarding the suspension.
Vale maintained its 2020 production guidance at 310 metric tons (mt) to 330mt with production expected to resume once all employees are tested and the company ensures no infected workers are working at the facilities. CRU Group believes it will be increasingly difficult for Vale to meet volume guidance considering the suspension, weak production in the Northern System and the effect heavy rainfall had on output at the start of 2020. The potential for additional infections increases employee absenteeism and production risk, as the number of people available to work in mines and processing plants falls, and other municipalities could take similar actions to stem the spread of the virus.
Material Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) shortcomings, particularly in the areas of executing strategy and maintaining the well-being of employees, constrain Vale’s ‘BBB-’ credit ratings with a Stable Outlook. However, Vale is a low-cost producer with a leading market position, abundant reserves, and high-grade iron that commands a market premium, which reduces credit implications.
Fitch projects Vale will generate more than USD14 billion of EBITDA in 2020, assuming iron ore prices average USD75/dmt. FCF should be about USD5.0 billion, assuming capex is about USD4.7 billion and dividends are USD3.0 billion. Vale’s 2020 net debt/EBITDA is projected to be around 0.5x. These forecasts compare with USD17 billion of EBITDA, USD7 billion of FCF and net debt/EBITDA of 0.3x for the LTM ended March 31. Forecasts could prove conservative, given the rise in iron ore prices.
Similar dynamics apply to Anglo American’s operations at Minas-Rio. Fitch used for its rating case the bottom of existing production guidance of 22 million tonnes – 24 million tonnes and a price assumption of USD75/tonne in 2020 for the 62% Fe benchmark cost and freight (CFR) China price. The company has scheduled a one month production stoppage for inspection of its slurry pipeline for second-half 2020. If there were any pandemic-related disruptions in the coming months it might be possible to use the slot to re-schedule the maintenance work. Overall, based on production figures to date, upside from actual prices realized and material Brazilian real depreciation, there is unlikely to be any cash flow downside for the earnings outlook from a temporary disruption, if it occurs at Minas-Rio, to the existing rating case.
CRU’s forecast for benchmark 62% Fe fines CFR China is USD80/dmt as of May 2020. Iron ore demand in China remains robust as rising steel prices and margins for hot rolled coil producers above 10% encourage steel production. CRU expects strong steel production ahead of the wet season in southern China, which typically slows demand from the construction sector. Steel mills in China continue to operate with exceptionally low inventories and recent data shows mill inventories are declining further while port stocks remain steady at 108mt.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Sunday, 14 June 20
INDONESIAN COAL WAS STILL IN DEMAND; A 52,000-DWT SUPRAMAX FIXING DELIVERY CJK FOR A ROUND VOYAGE VIA INDONESIA AT $6,250 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market made new highs for the year this week after strong iron ore demand to the far east continued to develop in the mar ...
Friday, 12 June 20
CHINA CURBS COAL IMPORTS AFTER 5 MONTHS OF RECORD INFLOWS - SOURCES: REUTERS
China has stepped up customs checks for coal imports, leading to lengthy processing delays at ports, four sources familiar with the matter said, as ...
Friday, 12 June 20
COAL INDIA LIMITED SET FOR MARKETING DRIVE TO CREATE DEMAND - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
State-run miner Coal India (CIL), which is primarily focused on supplying coal to the power sector, is now reorienting its marketing to create dema ...
Friday, 12 June 20
MOODY'S REVISES BRENT OIL PRICE OUTLOOK TO $35/BARREL IN 2020 - TASS
Low oil prices are likely to exert the highest pressure on Iraq, Oman and Kuwait due to the limited space for the fiscal policy pursuit and higher ...
Thursday, 11 June 20
JAN-MAY, INDONESIA SHIPPED 175.15 MILLION TONS OF COAL TO ITS OVERSEAS BUYERS
Indonesia's coal production for the first 5 months of this year have reached 228 million tons. January – May 2020, Indonesia shipped US$ ...
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Showing 911 to 915 news of total 6871 |
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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