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Thursday, 16 April 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As everyone anticipated the results of the OPEC + G20 meeting last week, it was very interesting to watch the reaction of tanker rates that were in a bull run lately. Amidst an oversupplied oil market and expectations of production cuts and consequent oil price hikes, the large contango effect has made profitable several storage plays during the past couple of months, occupying a lot of ships as a result, while in addition to that, several countries decided (amid bottoming oil prices and the Coronavirus pandemic emergency) to increase to the maximum their strategic petroleum reserves (e.g. the US SPR already has 634 million barrels in storage vs. a total capacity of 713 million barrels).
Key stakeholders in the industry created an additional hype by characterizing this meeting as one of the most important and historic events in the last two decades, creating expectations that any deal would lead to a further spike in short-term activity. There were of course also some less optimistic voices in the industry insisting that deal or no-deal the tanker market remained fundamentally weak in the long term, with the pandemic restrictive measures around the world already leading to a 25-35 million b/d or 30% decrease in demand. Following the end of the meeting, OPEC+ announced output cuts of 9.7m b/d for May and June, 8m b/d for the remainder of 2020 and 6 million b/d for the period January 2021-April 2022. The record cuts we are about to witness in the next couple of months are almost equal to 10% of global supply, while together with non-OPEC+ member cuts the figure could even reach the equivalent of 1/5 of global supply.
This means that May onwards cargo loadings will definitely see significant declines and this will most likely have a negative impact on the tanker freight market. Because of this expectation, we could possibly see producing countries trying to pump out as much product as possible before the agreement enters into effect, which could offer some support to the tanker market before we reach May 1st.
Looking further ahead and as “expecting the unexpected” is something everyone must have gotten used to by now, I’d say that there are a few possible scenarios in which neither the oil market dries up, nor prices manage to stabilize at much higher levels and push freights down. We have seen many times during previous output cuts that there have been some non-compliant members and we won’t be surprised to see certain producing countries eventually ramping up production above what was agreed this time as well.
Not only would such a development restore part of the cargoes lost, but it would also cause great dissatisfaction to compliant members that would start losing market share due to non-compliance and this could eventually lead to a new price war as a result. In addition to that, global demand for oil will gradually begin to increase as countries around the world eventually start to exit the pandemic emergency state and return to normality, while let’s not forget the amount of tonnage that has been used for storage and will not be competing for business in the tanker market.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 16 April 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE FALLS 5 YUAN PER TONNE - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price fell by 5 yuan (about 70 U.S. cents) per tonne during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Co ...
Monday, 13 April 20
SUPRAMAX: A 56,000DWT SHIP WAS FIXED DELIVERY PARADIP, REDELIVERY CHINA, AT $4,700 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market this past week looks to have come off life support and found some improved sentiment. The week began rather ordina ...
Saturday, 11 April 20
FAQ: COVID-19 AND CLUB COVER - UK P&I
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has generated a significant number of enquiries and questions from Members in recent ...
Saturday, 11 April 20
KOEN POWER PLANTS INVITED BIDS FOR 1.5 -1.62 MMT OF STEAM COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 1,500,000-1,620,000 Metric Tons (M ...
Friday, 10 April 20
INDIA'S BULKS SUPPLY CHAIN TAKES A HIT DURING LOCKDOWN - WOOD MACKENZIE
India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Businesses are shut, and the supply chain is ...
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Showing 1016 to 1020 news of total 6871 |
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Coal Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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