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Monday, 09 March 20
OPEC+ 'NO DEAL' A BLOW TO THE MARKET - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Speaking after today’s OPEC+ meeting broke up, Ann-Louise Hittle, vice president, Macro Oils, at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Today’s outcome is a psychological blow for the market, as the steep plunge in oil prices shows.
“And the market is now facing the spectre of unrestrained production once the current OPEC+ agreement expires in March.
“However, we do not think Saudi Arabia will push hard to lift their output in the northern hemisphere spring.
“Given weak demand and the likelihood this weakness will persist into the second quarter, it will be hard for any producer to increase their output sharply once the original production deal expires at the end of this month.”
Demand risks
She added: “One factor to bear in mind is that the plunge in demand we saw in Q1 was created by circumstances in China. The country’s coronavirus (Covid-19) containment measures have been far more stringent than those imposed anywhere else, and are not likely to be copied elsewhere.
“The lack of a production deal carries risk. This would become apparent if global economic growth weakens and oil demand continues to contract more sharply than expected thanks to the double whammy of coronavirus containment measures and falling GDP.”
Hittle said: “Our current projection sees global liquids demand fall by 2.7 million b/d year-on-year in the first quarter of 2020, the first year-on-year decline on a quarterly basis since Q2 2009.
“It is the most severe decline since Q4 2008, the height of the 2008-2009 global economic crisis, which saw demand tumble by 2.8 million b/d year-on-year.”
Hittle said: “If the impact the coronavirus has had on global oil demand is sustained, then by the second half of the year we’d expect to see weaker GDP. This will have a far greater impact on oil demand than just temporary reductions in jet fuel and gasoline demand.
“A longer, sustained outbreak of coronavirus threatens to hit oil demand with a double whammy: already weak demand will soften further because of containment measures, and this will weaken GDP.”
What next?
What does this mean for OPEC and OPEC+? It would mean that the group would likely need to monitor economic indicators closely. It may even mean that they could be forced to call an emergency meeting during the second quarter.
She added: “A sustained bout of low oil prices will further reduce cash flow and investment into the US oil patch, causing further hits to Lower 48 production growth later this year. It takes at least six to nine months for reductions in spend to lead to lower oil production in the US Lower 48.
“In that time, their access to capital may be limited and their free cash flow badly hit.
“The only silver lining in a very dark cloud is for refining – the sector will be hit hard by weak demand, but it is at least saved from tightening crude differentials associated with a major cut in OPEC supplies.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Sunday, 10 September 23
CHINA AUGUST COAL IMPORTS OF 44.3 MLN T HIT RECORD - REUTERS
China, the world’s top coal consumer, imported 44.3 million metric tons of the fuel last month, customs data showed, the highest amount in an ...
Tuesday, 22 August 23
CHINA'S COAL PRODUCTION LOGS STEADY GROWTH IN JANUARY-JULY: XINHUA
China’s output of raw coal went up 3.6 percent year on year in the first seven months of this year, official data showed.
The ...
Sunday, 13 August 23
THE COMMODITIES FEED: LNG SUPPLY RISKS LINGER - ING
Energy – OPEC sees deficit over remainder of 2023
Oil prices came under some pressure yesterday with ICE Brent settling a litt ...
Wednesday, 09 August 23
COAL TRADE TO RETURN TO 2019 LEVELS - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The International Energy Agency’s mid-year Coal Market Update for 2023 brings both positive and concerning news for the global coal industry. ...
Sunday, 23 July 23
ANALYSIS-INDIA'S COAL MINING BET STUMBLES AS WARY BANKS WEIGH RISING RISKS - REUTERS
India’s drive to ramp up coal output to meet growing energy demand is faltering due to banks’ reluctance to finance newly auctioned min ...
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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