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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 30 January 20
CAPE: WITH CHINESE NEW YEAR TAKING PLACE, THE RATES ARE REACHING FURTHER DISAPPOINTING LEVELS - FEARNLEYS
Cape
With Chinese New Year taking place, the rates are reaching further disappointing levels. Present TC average is below USD 4,500, off 24% fr ...
Wednesday, 29 January 20
INDONESIA REMAINS AT THE TOP SPOT IN 2019 AS THE LARGEST SUPPLIER OF COAL TO INDIA WITH 91.3 MLN TONNES - BANCHERO COSTA
Despite repeated promises from India’s government to reduce the country’s coal imports and increase domestic self-reliance, volumes jus ...
Wednesday, 29 January 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Last week Libya’s oil production operations were disrupted as it was reported that local Libyan tribes interrupted output at the the El Feel ...
Tuesday, 28 January 20
INDONESIA - UNCERTAINTY OVER AVAILABILITY OF LSFO - THE STANDARD CLUB
The club has received reports that low sulphur fuel is not currently readily available in all Indonesian ports and that there are local shortages.
...
Sunday, 26 January 20
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN BASIN SAW A 56,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY SAMARINDA TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $4,750 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market endured heavy losses throughout the past week, with the Capesize 5TC dropping from $8,352 to $4,772. In the lead up to Chin ...
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- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
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