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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 01 February 20
COAL IS NOT GOING ANYWHERE - MINING REVIEW
The coal sector is living under the constant threat of being blamed by environmentalists as being responsible for a world disaster called global wa ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
CIL PRODUCTION TO NOT EXCEED 640 MILLION TON IN FY20: OFFICIAL - PTI
Hit by disruptions due to a prolonged monsoon, mining major Coal India Ltd’s production in the current fiscal will not exceed 640 million ton ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
WHO PAYS FOR IMO 2020? - FREIGHT WAVES
The United Nations’ International Maritime Organization (IMO) implemented its low-sulfur fuel mandate on January 1, 2020. Full enforcement be ...
Friday, 31 January 20
EIA EXPECTS U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION FROM RENEWABLES TO SOON SURPASS NUCLEAR AND COAL
In the latest long-term projections, the U.S Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects electricity generation from renewable sources such as ...
Thursday, 30 January 20
PRIVATE SECTOR COMPANIES SEEK 'LEVEL PLAYING FIELD' FOR COAL BLOCK AUCTION - PTI
Private sector companies scouting opportunities for commercial coal mining in the country are seeking a “level playing field” to encour ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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