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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 06 August 12
COAL EXPORTS COULD ADD $2B TO $6B ANNUALLY TO U.S. ECONOMY - HELLENIC SHIPPING
Business groups backing Pacific Northwest coal export proposals on Thursday lauded a new report that claims increased U.S. coal exports could bring ...
Sunday, 05 August 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS ARE WAY UP
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for September 2012 delivery gain 1.36 percent on Friday (3 August 2012) closing W-o-W but gained& ...
Sunday, 05 August 12
INDONESIA'S ADARO TRIMS PRODUCTION FORECAST, CITES BAD ECONOMY - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta globe reported that, Adaro Energy, the country’s second-largest coal producer, has cut its annual production forecast to between ...
Sunday, 05 August 12
DRY BULK FREIGHT MARKET TO STAY WEAK NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to soften further in all segments.
The BDI was down by 8.68 pct closing at 852 points. The cape index ...
Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across nort ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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