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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 11 August 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS SEEN MOVING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for September 2012 delivery gain 1.29 percent W-o-W on Friday (10 August 2012) closing but lost 1 ...
Friday, 10 August 12
DRY BULK MARKET DROWNING FROM TONNAGE OVERSUPPLY - HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has been overflowing with new building vessels, despite the fact that demand is more or less (and minus the seasonal factors) ri ...
Thursday, 09 August 12
3RD ANNUAL SHALE GAS
Press Release - With the North American shale gas boom, IBC’s 3rd Annual Shale Gas explores optimal strategies to monetize Asia’s domest ...
Wednesday, 08 August 12
EXPLOITASI AIMS TO RAISE RP 2.7T FOR ACQUISITION - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, publicly listed coal miner PT Exploitasi Energi Indonesia (CNKO) is seeking to raise Rp 2.7 trillion (US$286.2 milli ...
Tuesday, 07 August 12
2ND ANNUAL FLOATING TERMINALS
Press Release - After a ground breaking and successful launch in 2011, the 2nd Annual Floating Terminals conferenceis back to address innovation, co ...
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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