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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 10 March 13
INDIA - INDONESIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT : FIRM TREND
COALspot.com – This week freight market was raised and remained firm in all segments.
The BDI was up by 6.70 pct closed at 843 points, ...
Sunday, 10 March 13
INDONESIA'S FORESTRY DEPARTMENT IS TO INCREASE BORROW-TO-USE PERMITS (IJIN PINJAM PAKAI) FEE SOON
COALspot.com : Indonesia to increase borrows-to-use permit fees by 33.33 percent. The government of Indonesia is planning to increase the state&rsqu ...
Friday, 08 March 13
EKO SANTOSO BUDIANTO APPOINTED AS PRESDIENT DIRECTOR OF BERAU COAL ENERGY
COALspot.com - PT Berau Coal Energy has appointed Eko Santoso Budianto as new president director, replacing Rosan Roeslani. Berau’s extraordin ...
Friday, 08 March 13
INDONESIAN HBA UP FOR FIVE CONSECUTIVE MONTHS
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government has declared bench mark price for coal has moved upwards in March 2013.
The monthly coal reference ...
Friday, 08 March 13
DRY BULK MARKET ON A RISING TREND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has continued its rising pattern set after China opened up again for business, following the Asian New Year Holidays. As a resul ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
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