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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 17 March 13
A WEAK WEEK FOR SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has lost 2.11 percent and CFR South China coal shipment ...
Sunday, 17 March 13
COAL FREIGHT RATES STEADY ON HIGHER DEMAND - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - This freight market continued to remain firm in all segments.
The BDI was up by 5.81 pct closing at 892 points. Cape index was up ...
Friday, 15 March 13
CHEAP SHIP VALUATIONS DON'T NECESSARILY MEAN ATTRACTIVE SAYS VESSELS VALUE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
With ship prices plunging by double-digits in the past few years, many ship owners are pondering their next moves in a market often described as att ...
Thursday, 14 March 13
SUPRAMAX : INDO - INDIA TRIP RATE IS AROUND $10,000; SOUTH CHINA $9500 - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
Indian market is still quiet in respect of export of iron ore. WC India market has improved with a few stems out of the MEG, WC India opening ...
Thursday, 14 March 13
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS ON RISING MOMENTUM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has maintained its rising momentum, on the back of increased cargo availability. According to yesterday's figures, the industry ...
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- White Energy Company Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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