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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 10 April 13
US COAL CONSUMPTION TO INCREASE FROM 889 MMST IN 2012 TO 948 MMST IN 2013 AND 957 MMST IN 2014 - EIA
Based on estimates for the first quarter of 2013, American coal production has continued to decline.
Total production is down 9.9 million short t ...
Wednesday, 10 April 13
DRY BULK FREIGHT RATES SEEN MOSTLY STABLE IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS WORLDWIDE
In its latest report, BIMCO forecast that for the coming six weeks, Capesize time charter average rates will remain subdued around $4,500-8,500 per ...
Monday, 08 April 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: UPWARD TREND
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has gained 2.71 percent and CFR South China coal shipment&nbs ...
Sunday, 07 April 13
CHARTER RATES ARE UNDER PRESSURE DUE TO DECLINING DEMAND - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to fall further with all the indices down.
The BDI was down by 5.38 pct closing at 861 points and the ...
Friday, 05 April 13
SGX API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS TO GO LIVE
COALspot.com - The Exchange has announced that the SGX API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap will go live for clearing on SGX-DC starting from 29 Ap ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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