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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 18 April 13
HANDY: STABLE ; PANAMAX: BUSY WEEK - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The Atlantic markets remain stable in this week. The USG-Feast was at USD 19k and Black Sea-Feast was at USD 12k. The Pacific market is bit f ...
Thursday, 18 April 13
FEATURE: PREDICTING THE FUTURE - AND THE PAST - BIMCO
It’s not predicting the future that is problematical, it’s the realisation that you have to relive the past again and again when you fai ...
Wednesday, 17 April 13
INDONESIA SHIPPED 80 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN FIRST QUARTER - COAL DIRECTOR
COALspot.com - Indonesia has exported around 80 million tons of coal including power plant coal in first three months of this year.
Speaking on t ...
Tuesday, 16 April 13
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT'S COAL EXPORTS JUMPED 20.87 PER CENT ON WEEK TO 3.07 MMT
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,077,431 tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 15 April 2013, Newca ...
Monday, 15 April 13
SUB - BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP SHOWS POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has gained 2.70 percent and CFR South China coal shipment&nbs ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
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