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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 04 June 13
WOOD MACKENZIE SAYS THE CHINA'S THERMAL COAL DEMAND WILL REACH NEARLY 7BTPA BY 2030
COALspot.com - The Illusion of Peak Coal' says that despite efforts to limit coal consumption and seek alternative fuel options, China's strong ap ...
Saturday, 01 June 13
COAL PRICES STRUGGLE TO FIRM UP
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average July 2013 delivery have gained 0.18 percent week on week and 0.03 percent ...
Saturday, 01 June 13
THE FREIGHT MARKET FOR S7 AND S8 SECTORS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT - VISTAAR
COALspot.com – The freights are remains weak week ended 31 May 2013, as BDI fell 2.05 pct and closed at 809 points on 31 May 2013.
The Cape ...
Friday, 31 May 13
US PRODUCED 18.5 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL W/E 25 MAY 2013
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totalled approximately 18.50 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 30 May 13
HANDY: RBCT ROUND WAS AROUND USD 9K + 300 BB - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
THE Atlantic market remained flat. The USG-Feast was at USD 19k and Black Sea-Feast was at USD 12k. The Pacific market remained quiet with no ...
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- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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