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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 11 June 13
COAL: NO SIGN OF RECOVERY - GABRIELLA
COALspot.com: We attended the 19th Annual Coaltrans Asia Conference, where we found most of the speakers were not very optimistic on the outlook for ...
Tuesday, 11 June 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED MORE COAL WEEK ENDED 11 JUNE 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,104,509 tons of coal for the week ended 0700 hours 11 June 2013, Newcastle Port Corp. ...
Tuesday, 11 June 13
OUTLOOK FOR CAPESIZES LOOKS GRIM, DESPITE FALLING IRON ORE PRICES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Things aren't looking all that rosy for the dry bulk market, despite a stronger volume of iron ore imports during the months of March and April, as ...
Sunday, 09 June 13
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP IS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average July 2013 delivery have lost 0.03 percent week on week but gained 0.07 pe ...
Sunday, 09 June 13
IRON ORE DEMAND: WEAK; COAL MOVEMENT: STEADY TO INDIA AND CHINA - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The freight market was fairly steady with BDI up by 0.37 per cent closed at 812 points this week.
The Cape index was also ended in ...
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
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