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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 04 August 13
COAL SWAP MARKET HAS LOST DIRECTION; STRUGGLING TO CATCH UP
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average October 2013 delivery slightly down on day, week and month on Friday, 2 A ...
Sunday, 04 August 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT SOFT DUE TO HOLIDAYS IN INDONESIA - VISTAAR
COALspot.com : The freight market was fairly steady this week with the BDI recovering towards north since second half of the week with the support o ...
Friday, 02 August 13
DRY BULK MARKET STABILIZES ON RENEWED MARKET ACTIVITY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has kept its positive footing this week, although it's still a far cry to deem the market situation as a growing one, especiall ...
Friday, 02 August 13
ASIA ACCOUNTS FOR 27.95 PERCENT OF US COAL EXPORTS IN Q1, 2013
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.80 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 01 August 13
CAPESIZE: THE FLOW OF CARGOES REMAINS RELATIVELY STABLE, AND THE PACIFIC IS LOOKING PROMISING - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Pacific market is still facing low activity, so no wonder that the tonnage list is getting longer. It´s still Ramadan and only a fe ...
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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