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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 10 August 13
DEMOLITION ACTIVITY TO BE CRUCIAL AGAIN IN PROVIDING SUPPORT TO THE DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
We appear to have forgotten demolition activity this year, with the Baltic Dry Index gaining traction in the latter part of the second half and emer ...
Friday, 09 August 13
US PRODUCED 4.00 PERCENT LESS COAL ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.00 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 08 August 13
HANDY : NO POSITIVE SENTIMENT FOR THE FAR EAST MARKET - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
No positive sentiment for the Far East market. There are a number of ships coming open in SE Asia this week and owners rating mid/high USD 8k ...
Thursday, 08 August 13
MALAYSIA HOSTS THIRD ANNUAL ASIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL USERS' GROUP CONFERENCE
Press Release : The third Annual Asian Sub-Bituminous Coal Users’ Group (ASBCUG) conference convenes Sept. 30-Oct. 3 at the Eastern & Orie ...
Wednesday, 07 August 13
HANDIES : FINDING IT DIFFICULT TO SUSTAIN THEIR PREVIOUS LEVELS - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
Broker's insight
by Konstantinos Kontomichis,
SnP Broker
Entering the most predictable month of the year, as expected the seasonal effects ha ...
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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