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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 21 August 13
DRY BULK SHIPPING - POSITIVE WINDOW FOR CAPESIZE OWNERS - PETER SAND
By: Peter Sand, Chief Shipping Analyst, BIMCO
Demand:
“Expect the unexpected from the dry bulk market” was what we wrote last time ar ...
Wednesday, 21 August 13
RATES FOR CAPES MOVED DECISIVELY NORTH THIS WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com - Right when the BDI seemed ready for another dive below the 1000 points level, the Dry Bulk market made significant comeback this week ...
Tuesday, 20 August 13
AUSTRALIA NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS FALL 19.15 PERCENT ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port fell 19.15 per cent week on week to 2.39 million mt f ...
Tuesday, 20 August 13
CAPESIZE RATES MORE SENSITIVE TO DEMAND - COMMODORE RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
COALspot.com : Approximately 71.50 million tons of iron ore is now stockpiled at Chinese ports, 900,000 tons (-1%) less than a week ago, Commodore R ...
Sunday, 18 August 13
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP : ON POSITIVE DIRECTION ON DAY, WEEK AND MONTH
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery US$ 1.83 up month on month. The swap was moved positive ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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