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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 26 August 13
CARRIAGE OF COAL CARGOES FROM KALIMANTAN, INDONESIA - WEST OF ENGLAND P&I CLUB
The Club has recently been advised by consulting scientists and engineers Dr J H Burgoyne and Partners (International) Limited that the number of in ...
Sunday, 25 August 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL: HEADING TO NORTH
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery US$ 2.39 up month on month. The swap was moved positive ...
Sunday, 25 August 13
THE FREIGHT MARKET S7 & S8 SECTOR IS EXPECTED TO BE STEADY/FIRM NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to be firm with all indices moved positive except for Panamax which was slightly down (2 pct down).
T ...
Friday, 23 August 13
US PRODUCED MORE COAL WEEK ON WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.80 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 22 August 13
PANAMAX : PERIOD MARKET IS STILL BEING LED BY STRONGER SENTIMENT IN THE FFA'S - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
This week started slowly as expected. Indo biz now rate APS around 7k +60k to china and around 8k+80k to India. However, there are some ships ...
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
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