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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 18 March 14
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORT VOLUME FALLS 26.23% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 17 March 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, total 2 ...
Monday, 17 March 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FOR AVERAGE Q2 14 DELIVERIES LOST 2.59% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 2.59 percent month on month and closed at US$ 74.15 per mt as o ...
Sunday, 16 March 14
BDI DOWN ON LOW CAPESIZE ACTIVITY
COALspot.com: The freight market was slightly soft this week with BDI down by 4.28 pct week on week. The BDI closed at 1,477 points and the cape ...
Friday, 14 March 14
DRY BULK MARKET ENTERS RECOVERY MODE, ON INCREASED CAPESIZE DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has entered and sustained higher ground as of this week, on the back on increased Capesize demand. Although the situation in ...
Friday, 14 March 14
US, THE WORLD'S SECOND LARGEST COAL PRODUCER MINED 75.3 MMST OF COAL IN FEBRUARY; DOWN 10.88% M-M
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.7 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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