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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 20 March 14
CAPESIZE: WEST AUSTRALIA TO CHINA RATES HAVE CLIMBED BACK TOWARD USD 11 PMT - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
From a slight improvement in the Atlantic to a more mixed picture this mid week. North Atlantic rounds showing softening signs whereas S ...
Wednesday, 19 March 14
INSTEAD OF DECIDING WHETHER THE GLASS IS HALF FULL OR HALF EMPTY, I AM CURRENTLY GLAD THERE IS WATER IN THE GLASS - EVA TZIMA
By Eva Tzima
Research Analyst
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Right when you think that you have all your facts straight, right wh ...
Wednesday, 19 March 14
EUROCOKE SUMMIT 2014
Press Release: ThyssenKrupp, Steel Institute VDEh, SSI and more headline Smithers Apex’s Eurocoke Summit
The leading coke, coal and s ...
Wednesday, 19 March 14
DRY BULK MARKET REBOUND LEADS TO MORE NEWBUILDING ORDERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The steady rise of the dry bulk market, as evidenced by the return, yesterday, of the Baltic Dry Index above the 1,500-point mark (1,518), is fu ...
Tuesday, 18 March 14
SECOND QUARTER SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST 3.27% IN A MONTH
COALspot.com – Indonesia, the world’s largest exporter of the thermal coal's swaps for delivery April - June 2014 gained this pa ...
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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