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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 25 August 14
4TH ANNUAL FLOATING TERMINALS
4th Annual Floating Terminals
18-20 Nov 2014
Intercontinental Jakarta Midplaza,
Indonesia
Web Site
The Floating Terminal c ...
Monday, 25 August 14
THE BALTIC DRY IS JUMPING, BUT DON'T DRAW ANY BROAD CONCLUSIONS - NASDAQ
Those who consistently preach doom and gloom and see an economic apocalypse around every corner would make me laugh if it weren’t for the fac ...
Monday, 25 August 14
COAL CEOS: DEMISE OF COAL 'EXAGGERATED' - MARK WILCOX
By Mark Wilcox
Heads of some of the largest coal companies in Wyoming are saying the demise of coal has been exaggerated, though the industry def ...
Monday, 25 August 14
INDO COAL SWAPS W-O-W: NEGATIVE; M-O-M: POSITIVE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average September 2014 decreased US$ 0.15 (-0.28%) day on day and US$ 0.65 (-1.19%) per mt week on week. Th ...
Monday, 25 August 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP GAINED DAY OVER DAY AND MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in September 2014 increased US$ 0.30 (+0.44%) day on day and decreased US$ 0.20 (- ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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