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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 30 August 14
RECOVERY IN SIGHT FOR THE DRY BULK SHIPPING MARKET - DREWRY SHIPPING CONSULTANTS
Despite weak freight rates so far this year, Dry Bulk shipping earnings are forecast to recover as demand for both major and minor bulk commodities ...
Friday, 29 August 14
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DROPS 1.3 PERCENT, EIA SAYS
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.40 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 29 August 14
ADARO'S PROFITS SINK FURTHER AMID FALL IN COAL PRICES - JP
Adaro Energy, one of the country’s largest coal miners, has reported a 31 percent drop in net profit in the first half of this year as global ...
Friday, 29 August 14
CHINESE LIGNITE IMPORTS: QUANTITY OVER QUALITY? - CLARKSONS
In the first half of 2014, Chinese seaborne coal imports declined 0.4% y-o-y to 148mt, largely reflecting a 3.3% fall in imports of steam coal. Mea ...
Thursday, 28 August 14
PANAMAX: OWNERS CAN GET AROUND USD 16000 FOR A FRONTHAUL; PERIOD MARKET - VERY QUIET - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The activity and sentiment is improving in the Atlantic with the general TA rate is up about US$ 800 w-o-w. We see more South American carg ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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