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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 11 November 15
VESSEL VALUES ARE DOWN BY AT LEAST 20% SINCE MID-AUGUST - INTERMODAL
I had promised not to spend another broker’s insight focusing on the dry bulk side. However, the sale of the M/V Churchill Bulker (179,362 dw ...
Tuesday, 10 November 15
SELF-HEATING OF COAL HAS EMPHASISED THE IMPORTANCE OF CHECKING THE ACCURACY OF SHIPPER'S DECLARATIONS - GARD
Recent incidents involving self-heating of coal has emphasised the importance of checking the accuracy of shipper’s declarations for all type ...
Tuesday, 10 November 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP SLIDES CONTINUE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $3.55 per ton (8.50%) month over month to US$ 38.20 per ton. The swap ...
Monday, 09 November 15
BUNKER PRICES TO KEEP SLIDING THIS WEEK, EXPERT SAYS - MARINE BUNKER EXCHANGE
The oil price volatility has continued this week. Two dollars up one day and the next day two dollars down. The oil market has been trading on the ...
Monday, 09 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA THERMAL COAL SWAP FOR Q3' 16 CONTRACT DECLINED US$ 4 PER TON
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 4.35 (9.03 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity swa ...
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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